Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 3

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: El Coloso (Rafaela)


	9 de Julio		Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
	2.10	2.87	3.30
	2.1	2.82	3.45
	2.13	2.99	3.43
	2.21	2.92	3.65	Watch
	2.08	2.65	3.35
	2.14	2.82	3.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.95)	2.85 ↓ (3.1)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Julio
42.3%

Draw
31.6%

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

28.8%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

28.8%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zanoni M. (G) 10. Abondetto R. 4. Acuna S. 2. Androetto T. 8. Del Sole N. 11. Larrea L. 5. Salcedo A. 9. Troncoso L. 6. Uriona M. 3. Vanega A. 7. Varela S.	1. Dormisch N. (G) 10. Almada L. 4. Dauria M. 3. Gallo M. 8. Gutierrez M. 5. Martinez G. 7. Medina R. 11. Salvaggio M. 6. Samaniego L. 9. Visser B. 2. Zarate A.
Substitutes
15. Cabral J. 12. Cuevas L. (G) 16. Diaz F. 13. Ferlini M. 18. Garcia F. 17. Luduena C. 14. Rouiller T. 19. Salvucci J. 20. Solari M.	16. D'Amelio X. 19. Fernandez V. 18. Ferreira P. 13. Fiol F. 14. Flores F. 12. Ilchischen N. (G) 20. Morales E. 17. Pavone N. 15. Robatto V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Larrea L. ⚽,
18', 🟨,
29', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', 🟨,
54', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 9 de Julio won 3.

9 de Julio is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gimnasia Chivilcoy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gimnasia Chivilcoy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

9 de Julio will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, 9 de Julio won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, 9 de Julio won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.08.26	Sportivo Belgrano - 9 de Julio	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	9 de Julio - Douglas Haig	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Douglas Haig - 9 de Julio	2:1 ✺
13.07.26	9 de Julio - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:2 ✺
05.07.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - 9 de Julio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTLLL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
01.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:2 ✺
12.07.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - El Linqueño	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.06.26	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:1
26.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	1:0
16.11.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	1:2
09.11.25	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:0
17.08.25	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:1
22.06.25	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:0
20.04.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	2:1

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