The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo 43.3%
Draw 32.9%
Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy 23.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.2%
30.4%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
30%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo's performance.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dormisch N. (G)
3. D'Amelio X.
4. Dauria M.
10. Ferreira P.
2. Fiol F.
8. Gutierrez M.
7. Medina R.
9. Morales E.
11. Salvaggio M.
6. Samaniego L.
5. Zarate A.
Substitutes
18. Caseres F.
17. Fernandez V.
13. Flores F.
12. Ilchischen N. (G)
15. Millan J.
20. Ortiz N.
16. Salinardi A. M.
14. Villamor G.
19. Visser B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Morales E. ⚽,
25', 🟨,
32', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Rodriguez A. 🟥,
75', 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Def Belgrano VR is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Gimnasia Chivilcoy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Def Belgrano VR could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Def Belgrano VR won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Def Belgrano VR won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Watch
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Dormisch N. (G) 
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