The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Belgrano 60.4%
Draw 26.1%
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo 13.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.2%
27.5%
17.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.7%
26.3%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Belgrano's performance.
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Belgrano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Sportivo Belgrano - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martina L. (G) 11. Bono J. 5. Caviglia J. 8. Churchi S. 4. Ferreyra L. (C) 3. Gancedo M. 7. Lehmann A. 9. Mercado E. 2. Paiz J. 10. Pastorelli A. 6. Pennesi T.
1. Velazquez F. (G) 2. Avalos J. 8. Bacas T. 11. Bertacin J. 6. Gay F. 7. Luna E. 3. Pezzani F. 4. Ponce A. 10. Principiano L. 5. Ramos M. 9. Roige E.
Substitutes
16. Beltran C. 20. Brener F. 12. Carena J. (G) 14. Contreras P. 13. Ferrero G. 17. Flores L. 15. Gimenez J. 18. Sagristani M. 19. Tarifa G.
14. Benitez V. 13. Broglia M. 15. Gaitan L. 20. Latof B. 17. Marnini N. 16. Medina G. 19. Olego M. 12. Santia J. (G) 18. Tuset M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Luna E. ⚽,
24', Ramos M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
64', 🟨,
67', 0 - 2, Luna E. ⚽,
77', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Belgrano won 1.
Sportivo Belgrano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Def Belgrano VR is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Def Belgrano VR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Def Belgrano VR has had a series of home games.
In this match, Sportivo Belgrano is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Belgrano won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Belgrano won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.8:0.8).
Watch
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Martina L. (G) 
Ferrero G. 
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