Match Info

Serie B - Round 9

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer (Guayaquil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports


	9 de Octubre		Deportivo Santo Domingo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	2.98	4.45	Watch
	1.85	3.09	4.62
	1.96	2.81	4.9	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.5
	1.79	3.13	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.72)	2.98 ↓ (3.4)	4.59 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Octubre
49.4%

Draw
30.7%

Deportivo Santo Domingo
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

27.3%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

26.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Deportivo Santo Domingo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for 9 de Octubre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Santo Domingo than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

9 de Octubre - Deportivo Santo Domingo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', 🟥,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

9 de Octubre is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

D Santo Domingo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

D Santo Domingo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, 9 de Octubre is the team to beat.

We predict that 9 de Octubre will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nueve de Octubre	29	11	12	6	31:21	10	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
03.05.26	22 de Julio - 9 de Octubre	0:1 ✺
29.04.26	9 de Octubre - Cumbayá	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Gualaceo - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	9 de Octubre - LDU Portoviejo	3:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
14.04.26	Nazareno - 9 de Octubre	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW
- Deportivo Santo Domingo
Ecuadorian Serie B
04.05.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - LDU Portoviejo	3:0 ✺
30.04.26	Cuenca Juniors - Deportivo Santo Domingo	0:0 ✺
24.04.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - San Antonio	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Independiente Juniors - Deportivo Santo Domingo	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	22 de Julio - Deportivo Santo Domingo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWLT

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