Match Info

Serie B - Round 12

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer (Guayaquil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports


	9 de Octubre		Cuenca Juniors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3	4.55	Watch
	1.79	3.19	4.9
	1.84	3.09	4.95	Watch
	1.83	2.9	4.6
	1.77	3.08	4.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.08)	3.05 ↑ (3)	4.74 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Octubre
50.7%

Draw
30%

Cuenca Juniors
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30.2%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

29.7%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 9 de Octubre's performance.

Cuenca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cuenca Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 9 de Octubre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuenca Juniors than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cuenca Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

9 de Octubre - Cuenca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, Mejia F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 2 - 2, ⚽,
60', 3 - 2, ⚽,
85', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90', 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).

9 de Octubre is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cuenca Juniors's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

9 de Octubre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

9 de Octubre will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, 9 de Octubre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nueve de Octubre	29	11	12	6	31:21	10	45
5	Cuenca Juniors	29	10	9	10	23:32	-9	39

Last Results with these Odds

9 de Octubre - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.5%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
25.05.26	Independiente Juniors - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
22.05.26	9 de Octubre - Manta	0:1 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
17.05.26	9 de Octubre - El Nacional	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	9 de Octubre - Deportivo Santo Domingo	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	22 de Julio - 9 de Octubre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLWWW
- Cuenca Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
20.05.26	Cuenca Juniors - 22 de Julio	3:0 ✺
14.05.26	Vinotinto - Cuenca Juniors	3:0 ✺
07.05.26	Cuenca Juniors - Cumbayá	0:3 ✺
03.05.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - Cuenca Juniors	0:0 ✺
30.04.26	Cuenca Juniors - Deportivo Santo Domingo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
26.03.26	Cuenca Juniors - 9 de Octubre	0:0
Ecuadorian Copa
22.10.25	Cuenca Juniors - 9 de Octubre	2:1

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