The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gualaceo 41%
Draw 31%
9 de Octubre 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
29.3%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
31.8%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gualaceo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Gualaceo - 9 de Octubre Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 1 - 0, ⚽,
87', 🟥,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gualaceo won 1.
In recent matches, Gualaceo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
9 de Octubre is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Gualaceo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Gualaceo could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gualaceo won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Gualaceo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
Ecuador
Watch
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