Match Info

Serie B - Round 7

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer (Guayaquil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Peru	Zapping Sports


	9 de Octubre		Cumbayá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.52	3.6	5.7	Watch
	1.55	3.77	6.32
	1.53	3.96	6.07	Watch
	1.53	3.4	5.75
	1.53	3.55	6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.82)	3.65 ↑ (3.3)	5.89 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Octubre
59.5%

Draw
25%

Cumbayá
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

28.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.4%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 9 de Octubre's performance.

Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cumbayá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 9 de Octubre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

9 de Octubre - Cumbayá Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. 9 de Octubre (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cumbayá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, 9 de Octubre is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, 9 de Octubre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, 9 de Octubre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nueve de Octubre	28	11	12	5	31:20	11	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
26.04.26	Gualaceo - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	9 de Octubre - LDU Portoviejo	3:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
14.04.26	Nazareno - 9 de Octubre	0:4 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
08.04.26	Vinotinto - 9 de Octubre	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	9 de Octubre - Atlético Rojiblanco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWWL
- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
24.04.26	Cumbayá - El Nacional	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	22 de Julio - Cumbayá	1:3 ✺
08.04.26	Cumbayá - Gualaceo	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Cumbayá - Vinotinto	1:1 ✺
26.03.26	Independiente Juniors - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
01.07.25	Cumbayá - 9 de Octubre	1:0
24.04.25	9 de Octubre - Cumbayá	1:2
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.10.22	9 de Octubre - Cumbayá	0:1
20.05.22	Cumbayá - 9 de Octubre	3:2

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