Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 7

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Natal)


	ABC		Floresta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.1
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.83	3.4	4.3
	1.75	3.25	4.3
	1.7	3.3	4.2
	1.73	3.36	4.52	Watch
	1.75	3.35	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.49)	3.34 ↓ (3.85)	4.26 ↓ (6.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
51.6%

Draw
27.2%

Floresta
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

23.8%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

21.7%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ABC's form might have worsened.

Floresta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Floresta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Floresta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

ABC - Floresta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Paulo (G) 5. Daniel 4. Eduardo Thuram 8. Erick Varao 2. Felipe Albuquerque 10. Gabriel Santiago 18. Jenison 6. Lucas Sampaio 20. Matheus 19. Pedro Felipe 17. Richardson (C)	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 14. Alisson 16. Davi Castro 9. Felipe Marques 19. Lohan 8. Lucas Alisson 3. Lucas Santos 21. Marcelo 27. Rayne 11. Romarinho 2. Watson
Coaches
Roberto Fonseca	Marcelo Cabo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Jenison ⚽,
19', Gabriel Santiago ↓, Ruan ↑,
22', Pedro Paulo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Watson 🟨,
59', Alisson ↓, Marllon ↑,
59', Romarinho ↓, Andrew ↑,
67', Ruan 🟨,
70', Lohan ↓, Buba ↑,
70', Felipe Marques ↓, Jean Silva ↑,
71', Pedro Felipe ↓, David Ribeiro ↑,
72', Matheus ↓, Wellington Reis ↑,
73', Lucas Sampaio 🟨,
76', Jean Silva 🟨,
81', Ruan ↓, Wallyson ↑,
81', Jenison ↓, Daniel Cruz ↑,
81', Lucas Alisson ↓, Jo ↑,
83', Andrew 🟨,
84', Erick Varao 🟨,
86', David Ribeiro 🟨,
90+4', Wellington Reis 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

ABC is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Floresta has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Floresta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match ABC is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches ABC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams ABC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie C
25.05.24	Confiança - ABC	0:0 ✺
19.05.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - ABC	0:4 ✺
11.05.24	ABC - Londrina	0:2 ✺
05.05.24	Athletic Club - ABC	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	ABC - Náutico Capibaribe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLLL
- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
28.05.24	Floresta - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
20.05.24	Floresta - Figueirense	0:2 ✺
12.05.24	Remo - Floresta	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Floresta - Ferroviária	1:4 ✺
28.04.24	Volta Redonda - Floresta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
23.07.22	ABC - Floresta	2:0

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