Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 3

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Joaquim Portugal (Minas Gerais)


	Athletic Club		ABC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.57	3.6	5.5
	1.59	3.76	5.92
	1.5	3.5	5.5
	1.56	3.63	6.04	Watch
	1.55	3.6	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.75)	3.62 ↑ (3.45)	5.64 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Athletic Club
58.6%

Draw
25.2%

ABC
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

26.6%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

25.3%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Club's performance.

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Athletic Club - ABC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Glauco (G) 10. David Braga 5. Diego Fumaca (C) 8. Djalma 4. Edson Miranda 9. Jonathas 3. Reginaldo 11. Villero P. 7. Welinton Torrao 2. Ynaia 6. Yuri	1. Pedro Paulo (G) 9. Daniel Cruz 4. Eduardo Thuram 8. Erick Varao 2. Felipe Albuquerque 6. Lucas Sampaio 10. Matheus 19. Pedro Felipe 17. Richardson (C) 11. Wallyson 14. Wellington Reis
Substitutes
18. Caldeira R. 14. Danilo Cardoso 26. Diego Vitor (G) 13. Douglas Pele 17. Geovane 12. Jefferson Luis (G) 21. Lucas Mineiro 15. Marcelo Sousa 19. Neto Costa 16. Rafael Conceicao 20. Robinho	12. Carlos Eduardo (G) 5. Daniel 16. Douglas Skilo 20. Gabriel Santiago 18. Jenison 7. Ruan 15. Vinicius Amaral 3. Wesley 21. Yuri Ferraz

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Wellington Reis 🟨,
23', Richardson ↓, Wesley ↑,
33', Reginaldo ↓, Danilo Cardoso ↑,
45+4', Diego Fumaca 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', David Braga ↓, Geovane ↑,
64', Djalma ↓, Rafael Conceicao ↑,
66', Daniel Cruz ↓, Jenison ↑,
66', Matheus ↓, Vinicius Amaral ↑,
71', Wesley 🟨,
71', 🟨,
77', Wellington Reis ↓, Daniel ↑,
77', Lucas Sampaio ↓, Yuri Ferraz ↑,
78', 🟨,
88', Welinton Torrao ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
90+2', 1 - 0, Rafael Conceicao ⚽,

Preview

Athletic in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

ABC is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Athletic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Athletic is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Athletic to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie C
27.04.24	Athletic Club - Remo	3:1 ✺
20.04.24	Caxias - Athletic Club	0:4 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
28.03.24	Athletic Club - Pouso Alegre	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	Pouso Alegre - Athletic Club	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Athletic Club - Uberlândia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWT
- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie C
27.04.24	ABC - Náutico Capibaribe	0:3 ✺
22.04.24	Ferroviária - ABC	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
06.04.24	Santa Cruz de Natal - ABC	2:0 ✺
03.04.24	ABC - Globo FC	0:0 ✺
31.03.24	Santa Cruz de Natal - ABC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLTL

Upcoming Matches