Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 8

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Natal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	ABC		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	2.95	3.4
	2.04	3.05	3.55	Watch
	2.09	3.05	3.74
	2.12	3.03	3.79	Watch
	2	3	3.5
	2.03	3	3.66	Watch
	2.04	3.05	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2)	3.02 ↓ (3.3)	3.6 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
44.5%

Draw
30.2%

Náutico Capibaribe
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

27.6%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

26.5%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	57.1%	0%

ABC - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. ABC (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe Garcia (G) 10. Anderson Rosa 4. Bruno Bispo (C) 17. Bruno Leite 21. Ian 9. Joaozinho 16. Manoel 7. Matheus Martins 26. Matheus Rocha 13. Octavio 14. Wellington Reis	1. Wellerson R. (G) 18. Auremir (C) 33. Carlinhos 11. Helio Borges 23. Igor Fernandes 13. Indio 12. Kelvin 8. Marco Antonio 30. Marco Antonio 17. Marcos Ytalo 20. Patrick Allan
Substitutes
23. Danilo Alves 2. Ezequiel 20. Jonatha Carlos 25. Juninho 8. Marcos Vinicius 19. Orlando Junior 12. Pedro Paulo (G) 18. Randerson 5. Renato Vischi 11. Wallyson 3. Wendel 15. Windson	10. Caio Vitor 35. de Sousa Oliveira T. 39. Eduardo 16. Felipe Santana 5. Igor Pereira 27. Kauan Maranhao 32. Leo (G) 38. Leo Mago 14. Odivan 7. Vinicius 34. Wendell 22. Wenderson
Coaches
Evaristo Piza	Helio dos Anjos

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Auremir 🟥,
23', Helio Borges 🟨,
26', Octavio 🟨,
28', Wendel ↓, Wallyson ↑,
29', Manoel 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Patrick Allan ↓, Igor Pereira ↑,
46', Ian ↓, Juninho ↑,
59', Marco Antonio ↓, Vinicius ↑,
60', Anderson Rosa ↓, Jonatha Carlos ↑,
60', Joaozinho ↓, Orlando Junior ↑,
62', Bruno Leite 🟨,
63', Carlinhos 🟨,
71', Indio ↓, Odivan ↑,
72', Kelvin ↓, Kauan Maranhao ↑,
76', Matheus Martins ↓, Danilo Alves ↑,
76', Helio Borges ↓, Caio Vitor ↑,
89', Wellerson R. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ABC won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Náutico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Náutico has had a series of home games.

ABC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, ABC won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, ABC won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie C
24.05.25	Londrina - ABC	1:1 ✺
19.05.25	ABC - Anápolis	3:3 ✺
10.05.25	Brusque - ABC	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	ABC - Ituano	2:3 ✺
27.04.25	Botafogo PB - ABC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TTWLT
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C
24.05.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.05.25	Náutico Capibaribe - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
17.05.25	Ypiranga - Náutico Capibaribe	0:4 ✺
10.05.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Confiança	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Brusque	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
27.04.24	ABC - Náutico Capibaribe	0:3
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
26.03.23	ABC - Náutico Capibaribe	3:1
27.02.20	Náutico Capibaribe - ABC	1:1
Club Friendly
22.12.19	Náutico Capibaribe - ABC	1:1
Brazilian Serie C
29.06.19	Náutico Capibaribe - ABC	1:1
28.04.19	ABC - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0
04.08.18	Náutico Capibaribe - ABC	2:0

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