Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Frasqueirao) (Natal) 🌤️ ...


	ABC		Uberlândia

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.50	5.00
	1.75	3.25	4.25
	1.68	3.60	5.13
	1.65	3.52	5.08	Watch
	1.53	3.65	5.55
	1.64	3.66	5.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.96)	3.53 ↑ (3.05)	5.06 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
55.9%

Draw
26%

Uberlândia
18.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29.5%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

28.7%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ABC's performance.

Uberlândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Uberlândia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ABC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uberlândia than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Uberlândia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ABC - Uberlândia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 0, Jhosefer ⚽,
76', 1 - 1, Tomas Bastos ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

ABC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, ABC is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, ABC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

ABC - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 45.88%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie D
22.08.26	Uberlândia - ABC	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	ABC - Nacional AM	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	ABC - Luverdense	4:1 ✺
18.07.26	Luverdense - ABC	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	ABC - Águia de Marabá	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWTW
- Uberlândia EC
Brazilian Serie D
22.08.26	Uberlândia - ABC	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	CS Alagoano - Uberlândia	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Portuguesa - Uberlândia	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Uberlândia - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Uberlândia - Serra Branca	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
22.08.26	Uberlândia - ABC	1:0

ABC - Uberlândia