Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 25

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	AC Libertas		Cosmos

	1	X	2
	4.85	3.6	1.58
	4.92	3.72	1.57
	5.06	3.81	1.59
	5	3.4	1.57
	5.28	3.7	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.02 ↑ (4.89)	3.65 ↓ (3.66)	1.57 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AC Libertas
18%

Draw
24.7%

Cosmos
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

24.7%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

24%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AC Libertas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Cosmos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for AC Libertas aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cosmos than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

AC Libertas - Cosmos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Guidotti R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Cosmos is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, AC Libertas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Cosmos	4	2	1	1	9:4	5	7
8	Libertas	4	1	2	1	4:5	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Libertas
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
07.03.26	Pennarossa - AC Libertas	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	AC Libertas - Folgore	2:4 ✺
21.02.26	La Fiorita - AC Libertas	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	AC Libertas - Faetano	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Virtus - AC Libertas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLTWL
- SS Cosmos
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
07.03.26	Cosmos - Fiorentino	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Murata - Cosmos	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	Cosmos - San Marino Academy U22	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Tre Penne - Cosmos	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Faetano - Cosmos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
23.11.25	Cosmos - AC Libertas	1:1
18.01.25	Cosmos - AC Libertas	2:2
07.01.24	AC Libertas - Cosmos	1:3
14.05.23	AC Libertas - Cosmos	0:1
28.02.23	Cosmos - AC Libertas	1:0
16.10.22	AC Libertas - Cosmos	1:1
27.02.22	Cosmos - AC Libertas	0:1

AC Libertas - Cosmos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide