Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 24

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Pennarossa		AC Libertas

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.35	2.62	Watch
	2.4	3.19	2.66
	2.4	3.36	2.69
	2.4	2.9	2.63
	2.38	3.18	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.26)	3.2 ↓ (3.65)	2.65 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pennarossa
37.8%

Draw
28.2%

AC Libertas
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

25%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

24.1%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pennarossa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

AC Libertas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AC Libertas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Pennarossa - AC Libertas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Morelli G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 0.

Pennarossa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

AC Libertas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1.3:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.8:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Libertas	4	1	2	1	4:5	-1	5
14	Pennarossa	4	1	0	3	7:16	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Pennarossa
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
01.03.26	San Marino Academy U22 - Pennarossa	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Pennarossa - Folgore	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	San Giovanni - Pennarossa	3:0 ✺
11.02.26	Pennarossa - Tre Fiori	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Pennarossa - Tre Penne	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TLLTL
- AC Libertas
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
01.03.26	AC Libertas - Folgore	2:4 ✺
21.02.26	La Fiorita - AC Libertas	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	AC Libertas - Faetano	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Virtus - AC Libertas	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	AC Libertas - Murata	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
08.11.25	AC Libertas - Pennarossa	2:2
08.03.25	Pennarossa - AC Libertas	1:1
13.01.24	Pennarossa - AC Libertas	1:4
11.04.23	Pennarossa - AC Libertas	0:7
17.12.22	AC Libertas - Pennarossa	3:3
09.04.22	Pennarossa - AC Libertas	1:0
19.12.21	AC Libertas - Pennarossa	1:1

Pennarossa - AC Libertas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide