Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 22

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	La Fiorita		AC Libertas

	1	X	2
	1.14	5.9	14.5	Watch
	1.16	6.48	14.5
	1.15	6	15
	1.18	6.86	12.7
	1.22	5.8	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.22)	6.21 ↑ (5.8)	13.26 ↑ (9.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Fiorita
78.3%

Draw
14.8%

AC Libertas
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.8%

15.7%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Fiorita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

AC Libertas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

La Fiorita - AC Libertas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Guidotti R. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Guidi T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 2 - 1, Olcese E. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 2, Mantovani E. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Fiorita won 4.

La Fiorita has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

AC Libertas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, La Fiorita is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, La Fiorita won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:7. (average 2.1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, La Fiorita won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:4. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	La Fiorita	4	1	3	0	4:3	1	6
8	Libertas	4	1	2	1	4:5	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

La Fiorita - the odds 1.22 are the expected chance of winning is 74.77%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Fiorita
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
14.02.26	Cailungo - La Fiorita	0:3 ✺
11.02.26	La Fiorita - Fiorentino	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	La Fiorita - Juvenes-Dogana	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Tre Penne - La Fiorita	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Murata - La Fiorita	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW
- AC Libertas
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
15.02.26	AC Libertas - Faetano	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Virtus - AC Libertas	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	AC Libertas - Murata	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	San Giovanni - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Cailungo - AC Libertas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
25.10.25	AC Libertas - La Fiorita	1:3
22.02.25	La Fiorita - AC Libertas	6:0
20.01.24	AC Libertas - La Fiorita	0:3
17.09.23	La Fiorita - AC Libertas	3:1
11.03.23	AC Libertas - La Fiorita	1:1
San Marino Coppa Titano
14.12.22	La Fiorita - AC Libertas	0:1
30.11.22	AC Libertas - La Fiorita	1:1

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