Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 24

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Cosmos		Fiorentino

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	4.75
	1.62	3.35	5.15	Watch
	1.56	3.74	5.07
	1.6	3.69	5.2	Watch
	1.57	3.4	5
	1.54	3.7	5.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.57)	3.6 ↓ (3.82)	5.11 ↓ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cosmos
57.2%

Draw
25.1%

Fiorentino
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

24.1%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

22.9%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cosmos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Fiorentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cosmos than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Cosmos - Fiorentino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Belward S. ⚽, Gjonaj A. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cosmos won 3.

Cosmos is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Fiorentino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Cosmos is the team to beat.

We predict that Cosmos will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cosmos won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 2.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cosmos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Cosmos	4	2	1	1	9:4	5	7
9	Fiorentino	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Cosmos
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
01.03.26	Murata - Cosmos	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	Cosmos - San Marino Academy U22	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Tre Penne - Cosmos	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Faetano - Cosmos	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Cosmos - San Giovanni	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTTW
- FC Fiorentino
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
28.02.26	Fiorentino - Tre Fiori	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Fiorentino - Juvenes-Dogana	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Virtus - Fiorentino	3:0 ✺
11.02.26	La Fiorita - Fiorentino	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Fiorentino - Folgore	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
08.11.25	Fiorentino - Cosmos	0:1
18.04.25	Fiorentino - Cosmos	0:3
22.12.24	Cosmos - Fiorentino	1:2
04.02.24	Cosmos - Fiorentino	4:2
03.10.23	Fiorentino - Cosmos	3:3
18.03.23	Fiorentino - Cosmos	0:1
26.11.22	Cosmos - Fiorentino	4:0

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