Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 38

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Alberto Pinto (Caserta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Casertana		Giugliano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.12	3.25	3.15
	2.16	3.2	3.34
	2.16	3.2	3.22	Watch
	2.1	3	3
	2.08	3.1	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.78)	3.15 ↓ (3.83)	3.21 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
42.8%

Draw
28.9%

Giugliano
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

24%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

23.2%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casertana's form might have worsened.

Giugliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casertana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Casertana - Giugliano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Casertana will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Giugliano (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Giugliano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Lucia V. (G) 6. Heinz J. 4. Kontek I. 13. Bacchetti L. (C) 5. Llano Massa M. T. 16. Pezzella S. 25. Toscano M. 20. Bentivegna A. 17. Viscardi A. 90. Casarotto M. 7. Butic K.	77. Greco S. (G) 15. D'Avino L. 24. Caldore M. (C) 33. La Vardera S. 20. Cester S. 4. Zammarini R. 6. Prezioso M. 14. Vaglica G. 69. Volpe G. 70. D'Agostino G. 32. Balde I.
Substitutes
51. Arzillo V. 29. De Liguori A. 11. Galletta U. 21. Girelli S. 9. Kallon Y. 10. Leone K. 94. Liotti D. 23. Martino P. 12. Merolla E. (G) 18. Oukhadda S. 8. Proia F. 33. Rocchi G. 99. Saco C. 91. Vano M. 22. Vilardi A. (G)	1. Bolletta L. (G) 43. Bozza M. 21. De Francesco F. 8. De Rosa R. 71. Giordano N. 9. Isaac Prado 23. Laezza G. 25. Minei A. 31. Murilo 90. Ogunseye R. 3. Panico C. 5. Pedro Justiniano 44. Peluso L. 29. Salvatore C. 12. Santarelli L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Zammarini R. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Butic K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Viscardi A. ↓, Saco C. ↑,
46', Casarotto M. ↓, Kallon Y. ↑,
54', La Vardera S. ↓, Pedro Justiniano ↑,
57', Cester S. 🟨,
57', Pezzella S. ↓, Proia F. ↑,
63', Cester S. ↓, Peluso L. ↑,
63', Volpe G. ↓, Murilo ↑,
63', Balde I. ↓, Isaac Prado ↑,
68', Heinz J. 🟨,
73', Toscano M. 🟨,
73', Heinz J. ↓, Liotti D. ↑,
84', Toscano M. ↓, Vano M. ↑,
88', Peluso L. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 1.

Casertana is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Giugliano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Casertana will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Casertana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Casertana	9	4	3	2	15:13	2	15
18	Giugliano	8	2	1	5	12:18	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Giugliano - the odds 3.8 are the expected chance of winning is 24.23%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
19.04.26	Latina - Casertana	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Casertana - Audace Cerignola	4:1 ✺
04.04.26	Cavese - Casertana	0:1 ✺
30.03.26	Casertana - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Atalanta U23 - Casertana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWW
- Giugliano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
19.04.26	Giugliano - Benevento	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Altamura - Giugliano	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Giugliano - Crotone	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Casarano - Giugliano	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Audace Cerignola - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
19.12.25	Giugliano - Casertana	0:3
07.04.25	Giugliano - Casertana	1:1
23.11.24	Casertana - Giugliano	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.24	Casertana - Giugliano	1:2 penalties
Italian Serie C Group C
21.04.24	Giugliano - Casertana	1:1
18.12.23	Casertana - Giugliano	3:1

Casertana - Giugliano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide