The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ACV 31.3%
Draw 27.8%
Excelsior Maassluis 40.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
25.3%
40.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
24.6%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ACV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACV than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ACV - Excelsior Maassluis Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Wolfs M. (G) 24. Oostra T. 15. Berends F. 28. Bannani K. 3. Wielink N. (C) 27. Lemmen T. 6. Hamelink M. 25. Broers L. 21. Slor K. 11. Mulder J. 10. Spijkerman B.
16. El Fakiri K. (G) 3. Ringeling K. 4. Heuvelman D. 6. van Eerden J. 2. Tureaij C. 10. Madi A. 8. Udenhout J. 14. Verbont J. 30. Hamd Y. 27. Plank D. 11. Tavares Q.
Substitutes
8. Dijk L. 14. Gootjes M. 4. Hettinga Y. 7. Jasper G. 1. Runhart B. (G) 17. Strijker S. 20. van der Werff T.
26. Bronder S. 37. Hulshoff D. 21. Nagtegaal N. 17. Slagveer D. 1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 19. van der Velden S. 9. Wennekers B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Spijkerman B. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Broers L. ↓, Hettinga Y. ↑,
51', Tureaij C. 🟨,
55', Slor K. ↓, van der Werff T. ↑,
56', Tavares Q. ↓, Slagveer D. ↑,
56', Tureaij C. ↓, Nagtegaal N. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Plank D. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Lemmen T. ↓, Jasper G. ↑,
67', Hamelink M. ↓, Strijker S. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Mulder J. ⚽,
79', Verbont J. ↓, Hulshoff D. ↑,
79', van Eerden J. ↓, van der Velden S. ↑,
83', Oostra T. ↓, Dijk L. ↑,
84', Heuvelman D. ↓, Wennekers B. ↑,
87', Wolfs M. 🟨,
87', Wennekers B. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Strijker S. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 1, Dijk L. ⚽, Mulder J. (A),
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation)).
Recent form of ACV has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Excelsior Maassluis's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ACV won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, ACV won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Watch
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Wolfs M. (G) 
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