Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 10

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Victor Montoya Segura (Jaen)


	ADA Jaén		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3
	1.78	3.65	3.6
	1.88	3.72	3.78	Watch
	1.81	3.56	3.77
	1.78	3.65	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.45)	3.57 ↑ (3.11)	3.55 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADA Jaén
48.9%

Draw
25.5%

Cajamarca
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

31.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADA Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADA Jaén's performance.

Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cajamarca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADA Jaén than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADA Jaén that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cajamarca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

ADA Jaén - Cajamarca Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. ADA will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. ADA (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Cajamarca (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. ADA (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rojas S. (G)
22. Acevedo G.
14. Guzman C.
19. Labrin V.
37. Maciel E.
8. Nunez J.
77. Rodriguez A.
9. Rodriguez F.
44. Rossi E.
18. Salinas T.
3. Villalta M.
Substitutes
23. Aponte K.
6. Delgado M.
30. Huaman A.
17. Inolopu F.
15. Lopez D.
74. Lozada J. (G)
7. Matzuda M.
4. Prado B.
31. Temoche D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Rodriguez F. ⚽,
26', Campos A. 🟨,
45+1', Valencia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Estrada A. ↓, Ocas F. ↑,
60', Campos A. ↓, Basan L. ↑,
63', 🟨,
65', Guzman C. ↓, Huaman A. ↑,
66', 🟨,
69', Rodriguez A. ↓, Matzuda M. ↑,
70', Iglesias M. ↓, Casquete A. ↑,
70', Guadalupe Q. ↓, Vega J. C. ↑,
80', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

ADA has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cajamarca is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

ADA might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, ADA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADA Jaén
Peruvian Liga 2
28.05.25	ADA Jaén - Universidad César Vallejo	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Universidad César Vallejo - ADA Jaén	1:3 ✺
17.05.25	Deportivo Llacuabamba - ADA Jaén	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	ADA Jaén - Pirata	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Carlos A. Mannucci - ADA Jaén	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.6 LWLLW
- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 2
01.06.25	Cajamarca - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0 ✺
23.05.25	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Pirata - Cajamarca	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Cajamarca - Carlos A. Mannucci	3:2 ✺
02.05.25	San Marcos - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
17.04.25	Cajamarca - ADA Jaén	4:1

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