Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 8

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Huamachuco (Huamachuco)


	Deportivo Llacuabamba		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	2.31	3.35	2.7
	2.41	3.37	2.69
	2.46	3.46	2.71	Watch
	2.33	3.24	2.77
	2.31	3.35	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.73)	3.35 ↓ (3.58)	2.71 ↓ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Llacuabamba
38.8%

Draw
27.4%

Cajamarca
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

25.4%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

26.9%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Llacuabamba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Llacuabamba's form might have worsened.

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cajamarca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Llacuabamba than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Llacuabamba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cajamarca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Deportivo Llacuabamba - Cajamarca Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Llacuabamba will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Cajamarca (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Cajamarca (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Cajamarca (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Cajamarca (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cajamarca will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Llacuabamba (votes: 1 - 10%). Cajamarca (votes: 9 - 90%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Valencia A. (G) 9. Bazan V. 10. Benites A. 26. Canahualpa M. 4. Cano J. 14. Gallardo J. 33. Inga J. 23. Jimenez C. (C) 13. Quiroz G. 5. Salinas R. 8. Torres J.	3. Medina J. (G) 7. Casquete A. 22. Catashunga J. 25. Goyoneche P. 17. Guadalupe Q. 28. Guevara R. 2. Merino B. 18. Mesias Silva P. C. 8. Ojeda A. 4. Segura J. 20. Valencia J.
Substitutes
1. Aguirre J. (G) 15. Carranza L. 22. Falcon F. 6. Hidalgo S. 25. Lopez K. . Lopez M. 31. Perez D. 11. Ramirez D. 24. Vega R.	9. Basan L. 23. Cabanillas A. (G) 11. Campos A. 21. Cholan R. 5. Iglesias M. 15. Layza M. 29. Ocas F. 30. Vega J. C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', 🟨,
32', 🟨,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
84', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Llacuabamba has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cajamarca is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Llacuabamba is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peruvian Liga 2
17.05.25	Deportivo Llacuabamba - ADA Jaén	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Llacuabamba	4:1 ✺
26.04.25	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Pirata	4:0 ✺
20.04.25	Carlos A. Mannucci - Deportivo Llacuabamba	4:1 ✺
12.04.25	Deportivo Llacuabamba - San Marcos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLW
- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 2
17.05.25	Pirata - Cajamarca	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Cajamarca - Carlos A. Mannucci	3:2 ✺
02.05.25	San Marcos - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Cajamarca - ADA Jaén	4:1 ✺
12.04.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Cajamarca	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWLWW

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