Match Info

Liga 2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	ATV


	Cajamarca		Universidad César Vallejo

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.15	2.78
	2.54	3.37	2.47
	1.80	3.61	4.07	Watch
	2.57	3.14	2.49
	2	3.14	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.77)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	3 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cajamarca
41.2%

Draw
28.1%

Universidad César Vallejo
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

26.5%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

25.4%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cajamarca's form might have worsened.

Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad César Vallejo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cajamarca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad César Vallejo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cajamarca - Universidad César Vallejo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sandi M. (G) 16. Bernaola B. 7. Casquete A. 27. Chavez D. 22. Cuadros D. 25. Goyoneche P. 20. Meza C. 13. Sanchez A. 26. Timana H. 30. Vega J. C. 12. Zeta H.	12. Rabines M. (G) 72. Ascues A. 31. Caballero E. 21. Cavero S. 8. Cornejo M. 5. Da Rosa F. 17. Morales J. (C) 20. Paiva F. 27. Quispe J. 11. Rojas Castilla A. S. 4. Romero A.
Substitutes
17. Guadalupe Q. 14. Jimenez J. 33. Leguia F. 3. Medina J. (G) 2. Merino B. 18. Mesias Silva P. C. 29. Ocas F. 4. Segura J.	9. Carando D. 28. Correa M. 77. Cortez J. 15. Grandez G. 14. Requena P. 90. Succar A. 1. Vargas J. (G) 18. Vasquez D. 16. Villamarin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Casquete A. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Cajamarca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cajamarca is a strong favorite.

We predict that Cajamarca will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 2
12.10.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Carlos A. Mannucci - Cajamarca	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Cajamarca - Moquegua	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Cajamarca - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWWTW
- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 2
12.10.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Comerciantes Belén - Universidad César Vallejo	0:1 penalties ✺
21.09.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Moquegua	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Universidad César Vallejo	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Carlos A. Mannucci	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
12.10.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Cajamarca	0:0
23.08.25	Cajamarca - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0
19.07.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Cajamarca	0:0
01.06.25	Cajamarca - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0
12.04.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Cajamarca	2:3

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