Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 9

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de San Marcos (Lima)


	San Marcos		Deportivo Llacuabamba

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.6	4.8
	1.8	2.85	4.98
	1.69	3.67	4.98	Watch
	1.5	3.6	5.75
	1.62	3.54	5.02
	1.63	3.6	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.51)	3.48 ↓ (3.63)	5.06 ↓ (6.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marcos
55.6%

Draw
26.3%

Deportivo Llacuabamba
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

24.9%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

24.5%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Deportivo Llacuabamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marcos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Llacuabamba than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

San Marcos - Deportivo Llacuabamba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stein A. (G) 4. Almeida 24. Castro F. 15. Gadea A. 26. Garcia A. 3. Mayo J. 8. Peral P. 2. Reyes J. 19. Rodriguez R. 9. Saffadi D. 6. Sanchez A. (C)	12. Valencia A. (G) 9. Bazan V. 10. Benites A. 4. Cano J. 18. Franco J. 14. Gallardo J. 33. Inga J. 23. Jimenez C. (C) 13. Quiroz G. 5. Salinas R. 8. Torres J.
Substitutes
5. Aivar F. 29. Aragon F. 28. Paz L. 21. Quincho J. (G) 25. Raffo R. 35. Rivera L. 13. Rodriguez L. 7. Soto J. 16. Ventura F.	1. Aguirre J. (G) 26. Canahualpa M. 15. Carranza L. 20. Castillo E. 22. Falcon F. 6. Hidalgo S. 25. Lopez K. 7. Perez D. 24. Vega R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Saffadi D. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Saffadi D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

San Marcos is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Llacuabamba has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Llacuabamba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, San Marcos is the clear favorite.

We predict that San Marcos will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Marcos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, San Marcos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC San Marcos
Peruvian Liga 2
25.05.25	Pirata - San Marcos	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Carlos A. Mannucci - San Marcos	1:1 ✺
02.05.25	San Marcos - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	ADA Jaén - San Marcos	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	San Marcos - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWTW
- Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peruvian Liga 2
23.05.25	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Deportivo Llacuabamba - ADA Jaén	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Llacuabamba	4:1 ✺
26.04.25	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Pirata	4:0 ✺
20.04.25	Carlos A. Mannucci - Deportivo Llacuabamba	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
12.04.25	Deportivo Llacuabamba - San Marcos	1:0
13.07.24	Deportivo Llacuabamba - San Marcos	2:2
23.05.24	San Marcos - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:1

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