Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 14

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de San Marcos (Lima)


	San Marcos		Carlos A. Mannucci

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.05	2.72
	4.33	3.55	1.61
				Watch
	2.9	3.45	2.15
	2.3	3.13	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.22)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	2.35 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marcos
31.5%

Draw
28.5%

Carlos A. Mannucci
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

26.8%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marcos's form might have worsened.

Carlos A. Mannucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlos A. Mannucci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marcos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos A. Mannucci than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlos A. Mannucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	13.3%	40%

San Marcos - Carlos A. Mannucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. San Marcos will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Mannucci will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Marcos: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. San Marcos (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Mannucci (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Mannucci (1.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Mannucci (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. San Marcos (votes: 9 - 45%). Mannucci (votes: 8 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	12. Casanova F. (G)
	2. Alburqueque L.
	6. Miguez P. (C)
	10. Mimbela W.
	11. Nunez J.
	13. Rabanal E.
	40. Regalado I.
	24. Rizzo G.
	32. Salazar V.
	7. Urrutia B.
	17. Valladolid C.
Substitutes
	9. Andrada F.
	14. Andres C.
	36. Chicoma A.
	5. Godoy F.
	34. Montalva A.
	8. Ramirez S.
	1. Rossi J. (G)
	25. Serrano B.
	18. Silva G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

San Marcos is Qualified for Liga 2 (Promotion Group )

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mannucci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Marcos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC San Marcos
Peruvian Liga 2
20.06.25	Cajamarca - San Marcos	1:0 ✺
13.06.25	San Marcos - ADA Jaén	0:1 ✺
07.06.25	Universidad César Vallejo - San Marcos	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	San Marcos - Deportivo Llacuabamba	3:0 ✺
25.05.25	Pirata - San Marcos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLTWW
- Carlos A. Mannucci
Peruvian Liga 2
29.06.25	Carlos A. Mannucci - Cajamarca	5:1 ✺
21.06.25	ADA Jaén - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Carlos A. Mannucci - Universidad César Vallejo	0:2 ✺
08.06.25	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:1 ✺
31.05.25	Carlos A. Mannucci - Pirata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
18.05.25	Carlos A. Mannucci - San Marcos	1:1

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