Match Info
Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 6Date: 24 August 2025, SundayLocation: Estadio Olimpico de San Marcos (Lima)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Peru | ATV |
|
 |
|
 |
|
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San Marcos |
|
ADA Jaén |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.61 |
3.5 |
4.75 |
|
 |
1.82 |
2.98 |
4.45 |
|
 |
1.83 |
2.91 |
4.62 |
|
 |
1.99 |
3.22 |
3.81 |
 Watch |
 |
1.84 |
3.2 |
4.13 |
|
 |
1.62 |
3.54 |
5.02 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.64) |
3.23 ↓
(3.5) |
4.46 ↓
(4.85) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
San Marcos
51.2% | Draw
28.3% | ADA Jaén
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ADA Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marcos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADA Jaén than the current prediction. (-2.7%)San Marcos - ADA Jaén Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
| 1.  Rojas S. (G)
|
| 22.  Acevedo G.
|
| 17. Crespo H.
|
| 11. Cubas A.
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| 7. Duque L.
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| 19. Labrin V.
|
| 9. Rodriguez F.
|
| 44. Rossi E.
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| 18. Salinas T.
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| 20.  Valencia J.
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| 3. Villalta M.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
| 10. Aponza S.
|
| 32. Cassiano F.
|
| 14. Guzman C.
|
| 15. Lopez D.
|
| 37.  Maciel E.
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| 21. Montenegro L. (G)
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| 23. Plasencia I.
|
| 4. Prado B.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', 🟨,
- 31', 🟨,
- 34', Moyano D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 🟨,
- 61', Salinas T. 🟨,
- 64', 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos won 2.Neither of the teams is performing well right now. In this match, San Marcos is the team to beat.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, San Marcos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Peruvian Liga 2 | | | 20.07.25 | ADA Jaén - San Marcos | 0:0 | | 13.06.25 | San Marcos - ADA Jaén | 0:1 | | 25.04.25 | ADA Jaén - San Marcos | 0:0 | | 28.06.24 | San Marcos - ADA Jaén | 6:0 | | 07.05.24 | ADA Jaén - San Marcos | 0:2 | | Peruvian Copa | | | 26.11.23 | San Marcos - ADA Jaén | 1:3 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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