Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 12

Date: 20 June 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Héroes de San Ramón (Cajamarca)


	Cajamarca		San Marcos

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.2	4.1
	1.74	3.74	3.91
				Watch
	1.71	3.42	4.53
	1.8	3.2	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.85)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	4.22 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cajamarca
51.7%

Draw
26.8%

San Marcos
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

27.6%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

26.5%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

San Marcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Cajamarca - San Marcos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sandi M. (G) 9. Basan L. 7. Casquete A. 25. Goyoneche P. 5. Iglesias M. 15. Layza M. 2. Merino B. 18. Mesias Silva P. C. 29. Ocas F. 8. Ojeda A. 4. Segura J. (C)	1. Stein A. (G) 5. Aivar F. 29. Aragon F. 8. Peral P. 25. Raffo R. 2. Reyes J. 35. Rivera L. 13. Rodriguez L. 19. Rodriguez R. 30. Salas J. 6. Sanchez A. (C)
Substitutes
11. Campos A. 21. Cholan R. 19. Estrada A. 10. Guerrero G. 28. Guevara R. 14. Jimenez J. 3. Medina J. (G) 20. Valencia J. 30. Vega J. C.	24. Castro F. 15. Gadea A. 10. Garcia A. 28. Paz L. 21. Quincho J. (G) 7. Soto J. 16. Ventura F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodriguez R. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
48', Merino B. 🟨,
68', Casquete A. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
69', Rivera L. ↓, Paz L. ↑,
69', Aivar F. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
76', Rodriguez L. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
76', Iglesias M. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
85', Basan L. ↓, Guerrero G. ↑,
85', Goyoneche P. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Jimenez J. ⚽,
89', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

Cajamarca is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, San Marcos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cajamarca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cajamarca is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cajamarca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 2
07.06.25	ADA Jaén - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
01.06.25	Cajamarca - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0 ✺
23.05.25	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Pirata - Cajamarca	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Cajamarca - Carlos A. Mannucci	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWTWW
- FC San Marcos
Peruvian Liga 2
13.06.25	San Marcos - ADA Jaén	0:1 ✺
07.06.25	Universidad César Vallejo - San Marcos	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	San Marcos - Deportivo Llacuabamba	3:0 ✺
25.05.25	Pirata - San Marcos	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Carlos A. Mannucci - San Marcos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
02.05.25	San Marcos - Cajamarca	2:0

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