Match Info

Derde Divisie - Round 29

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportpark De Vlotter (Heemskerk)


	ADO 20 Heemskerk		Harkemase Boys

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.3	2.38
	2.61	3.16	2.43
	2.65	3.26	2.45	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.4
	2.57	3.3	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.6)	3.22 ↓ (3.42)	2.41 (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADO 20 Heemskerk
34.8%

Draw
27.9%

Harkemase Boys
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

26.8%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

26.8%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADO 20 Heemskerk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Harkemase Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO 20 Heemskerk than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harkemase Boys than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ADO 20 Heemskerk - Harkemase Boys Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).

In recent matches, ADO 20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Harkemase Boys is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Harkemase Boys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Harkemase Boys has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, ADO 20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADO 20 Heemskerk
Dutch Derde Divisie
29.03.26	USV Hercules - ADO 20 Heemskerk	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Rohda Raalte	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	ADO 20 Heemskerk - HSC 21	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Genemuiden - ADO 20 Heemskerk	4:1 ✺
15.02.26	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Hoogeveen	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTWLW
- Harkemase Boys
Dutch Derde Divisie
06.04.26	Harkemase Boys - VV DOVO	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Harkemase Boys - Genemuiden	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Harkemase Boys - Eemdijk	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Sparta Nijkerk - Harkemase Boys	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Harkemase Boys - DVS33 Ermelo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Derde Divisie
08.11.25	Harkemase Boys - ADO 20 Heemskerk	1:2

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