Match Info

Super League - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Panetolikos Stadium (Agrinio)

Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 7


	Panetolikos		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
	8.5	4.5	1.35	Watch
	8.2	4.5	1.4
	8.69	4.62	1.4
	8.13	4.37	1.4	Watch
	8	4.33	1.36
	8.55	4.33	1.39	Watch
	8	4.5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.3 ↓ (8.8)	4.45 (4.45)	1.39 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panetolikos
11.3%

Draw
21.1%

AEK Athens
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.6%

21%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.1%

19.9%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panetolikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	25%	58.3%

Panetolikos - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Panetolikos will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). AEK will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Panetolikos (7.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AEK Athens will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Panetolikos (votes: 1 - 20%). AEK (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Chaves L. (G) 16. Sielis C. 28. Kojic L. 4. Garcia U. 15. Manrique C. 41. Bouchalakis A. (C) 7. Smyrlis L. 22. Esteban Diego 10. Matan A. 71. Michalak K. 14. Aleksic K.	1. Strakosha T. (C) 12. Rota L. 21. Vida D. 44. Relvas F. 29. Penrice J. 17. Kaloskamis D. 18. Marin R. 23. Ljubicic R. 13. Pineda O. 10. Joao Mario 9. Jovic L.
Substitutes
23. Agapakis G. 9. Aguirre J. 8. Belevonis C. 20. Chura J. 3. Manos C. 77. Nikolaou E. 1. Pardalos M. (G) 12. Zivkovic Z. (G)	81. Angelopoulos A. (G) 91. Brignoli A. (G) 55. Chrysopoulos K. 19. Eliasson N. 4. Grujic M. 11. Koita A. 34. Kosidis C. 7. Kutesa D. 20. Mantalos P. 28. Odubajo M. 37. Pereyra R. 3. Pilios S.
Coaches
Anastasiou G.	Nikolic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Pineda O. ⚽,
32', Rota L. 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Joao Mario ⚽, Ljubicic R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Bouchalakis A. ↓, Agapakis G. ↑,
46', Smyrlis L. ↓, Nikolaou E. ↑,
62', 0 - 3, Ljubicic R. ⚽, Kaloskamis D. (A),
63', Kaloskamis D. ↓, Koita A. ↑,
65', 0 - 4, Ljubicic R. ⚽, Rota L. (A),
68', Relvas F. ↓, Chrysopoulos K. ↑,
68', Joao Mario ↓, Grujic M. ↑,
68', Jovic L. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
72', Esteban Diego ↓, Belevonis C. ↑,
72', Aleksic K. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
75', Grujic M. 🟨,
77', Garcia U. 🟨,
77', 0 - 5, Chrysopoulos K. ⚽, Eliasson N. (A),
80', Penrice J. ↓, Pilios S. ↑,
81', Agapakis G. 🟨,
89', Kojic L. ↓, Manos C. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 1.

Panetolikos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AEK is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

AEK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, AEK is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 12:41. (average 0.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Panetolikos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panetolikos
Greek Super League
08.12.25	Panserraikos - Panetolikos	0:1 ✺
Greek Cup
04.12.25	Iraklis - Panetolikos	0:0 ✺
Greek Super League
30.11.25	Panetolikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Asteras Tripolis - Panetolikos	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Panetolikos - AEL Larissa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTLTW
- AEK Athens
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Samsunspor - AEK Athens	1:2 ✺
Greek Super League
07.12.25	AEK Athens - Atromitos Athens	4:1 ✺
Greek Cup
03.12.25	AEK Athens - OFI	2:0 ✺
Greek Super League
30.11.25	Panathinaikos - AEK Athens	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Fiorentina - AEK Athens	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
02.11.25	AEK Athens - Panetolikos	1:0
Greek Cup
24.09.25	AEK Athens - Panetolikos	2:1
Greek Super League
25.01.25	AEK Athens - Panetolikos	1:0
05.10.24	Panetolikos - AEK Athens	1:0
18.12.23	Panetolikos - AEK Athens	2:2
08.10.23	AEK Athens - Panetolikos	3:0
15.01.23	AEK Athens - Panetolikos	4:1

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