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Current Win Probability
AEK Athens 55.6%
Draw 25.1%
Zorya Luhansk 19.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.6%
21.3%
14%
Our Initial ML Estimation
75.7%
18.2%
11.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEK Athens's form might have worsened.
Zorya Luhansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zorya Luhansk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+20.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEK Athens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zorya Luhansk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.7%
4.8%
10.5%
AEK Athens - Zorya Luhansk Predictions
Users Predictions:
AEK Athens will win
(177 of 209 users predict this - 84.69%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.81% – 89.57%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Limited number of spectators.
AEK has a chance of round of 32 (16%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (5%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Zorya has a very small chance of round of 32 (<1%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
AEK is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Zorya is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
AEK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Zorya have a series of home games.
In this match AEK is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's AEK to win the game is with odds 1.75.
Last 1 head-to-head matches AEK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
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