Match Info

Super League - Round 24

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Allwyn Arena (Athens)

Referee: Polychronis F. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 4


	AEK Athens		AEL Larissa

	1	X	2
	1.13	7.5	13	Watch
	1.21	6.5	13
	1.22	6.2	13
	1.2	7.21	16.41
	1.22	5.59	14.61	Watch
	1.18	6	13
	1.2	6.45	13.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.21)	6.49 ↑ (5.6)	13.76 ↑ (13.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
78.7%

Draw
14.5%

AEL Larissa
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.5%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

AEK Athens - AEL Larissa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - draw (1.11) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: AEK Athens will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strakosha T. (G) 12. Rota L. 2. Moukoudi H. (C) 44. Relvas F. 29. Penrice J. 18. Marin R. 13. Pineda O. 19. Eliasson N. 11. Koita A. 9. Jovic L. 25. Varga B.	94. Anagnostopoulos A. (G) 28. Batubinsika D. 33. Rosic L. 4. Iliadis T. (C) 27. Macon Y. 15. Naor G. 31. Atanasov J. 20. Olafsson D. 29. Tupta L. 5. Kakuta G. 8. Perez F.
Substitutes
91. Brignoli A. (G) 8. Gacinovic M. 15. Georgiev M. 4. Grujic M. 10. Joao Mario 7. Kutesa D. 23. Ljubicic R. 20. Mantalos P. 37. Pereyra R. 3. Pilios S. 21. Vida D. 90. Zini	18. Chatzistravos Z. 17. Diminikos D. 14. Ferigra E. 23. Garate L. 12. Kossonou A. 1. Melissas N. (G) 11. Mourgos S. 6. Pantelakis E. 19. Pasas G. 25. Sagal A. 90. Sourlis V. 21. Venetikidis T. (G)
Coaches
Nikolic M.	Pantelidis S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Moukoudi H. ⚽,
45+6', Eliasson N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Jovic L. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Perez F. ↓, Mourgos S. ↑,
57', Kakuta G. ↓, Sagal A. ↑,
58', Naor G. ↓, Sourlis V. ↑,
67', Pineda O. ↓, Mantalos P. ↑,
67', Koita A. ↓, Pereyra R. ↑,
70', Rosic L. ↓, Chatzistravos Z. ↑,
75', Olafsson D. 🟨,
78', Iliadis T. 🟨,
79', Eliasson N. ↓, Gacinovic M. ↑,
80', Tupta L. ↓, Garate L. ↑,
84', Sourlis V. 🟨,
84', Jovic L. ↓, Zini ↑,
90', Relvas F. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).

AEK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK won 3.

AEK is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Larissa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, AEK is the clear favorite.

There will not play in AEK: Callens A. (Heart Problems)

There will not play in Larissa: Sourlis V. (Concussion) Staikos P. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, AEK won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:8. (average 2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, AEK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:2. (average 2.5:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AEK Athens	6	4	2	0	16:3	13	14

Last Results with these Odds

AEK Athens - the odds 1.21 are the expected chance of winning is 76.47%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
01.03.26	Volos - AEK Athens	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	AEK Athens - Levadiakos	4:0 ✺
15.02.26	PAOK - AEK Athens	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Panserraikos - AEK Athens	0:4 ✺
01.02.26	AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWTWT
- AEL Larissa
Greek Super League
28.02.26	OFI - AEL Larissa	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	AEL Larissa - PAOK	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Panathinaikos - AEL Larissa	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	AEL Larissa - Panetolikos	1:4 ✺
31.01.26	Volos - AEL Larissa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
21.09.25	AEL Larissa - AEK Athens	1:1
15.02.21	AEL Larissa - AEK Athens	2:4
22.11.20	AEK Athens - AEL Larissa	4:1
19.01.20	AEK Athens - AEL Larissa	3:0
05.10.19	AEL Larissa - AEK Athens	0:0
21.04.19	AEK Athens - AEL Larissa	0:1
16.12.18	AEL Larissa - AEK Athens	0:0

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