Match Info

UKRAINE: Premier League - Round 16

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Inhulets (Petrove)

Referee: Zadyran S. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV
Spain	LaLiga+
Ukraine	UPL TV, Watch UP
World	Onefootball


	Inhulets		Zorya Luhansk

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2.1
	3.5	3.3	2.1
	3.76	3.24	2.08
	2.22	2.71	4.07	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2
	2.3	3.12	3.59	Watch
	3.5	3.3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.65)	3.2 ↓ (3.43)	2.58 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inhulets
31%

Draw
30.8%

Zorya Luhansk
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

26.9%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

25.6%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inhulets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inhulets's performance.

Zorya Luhansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zorya Luhansk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inhulets than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zorya Luhansk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Inhulets - Zorya Luhansk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Inhulets will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Zorya will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Palamarchuk O. (G) 2. Malysh S. 45. Vilivald V. 23. Shershen M. (C) 33. Mysyk M. 20. Volokhatyi R. 22. Bilotserkovets V. 8. Pyatov O. 6. Losenko I. 59. Mogylnyi B. 97. Rezepov D.	1. Saputin O. (G) 21. Basic J. 4. Eskinja G. 55. Jordan 10. Juninho 15. Dryshlyuk K. 99. Vakula V. 22. Micin P. 5. Yatsyk O. 17. Gorbach I. 28. Budkivsky P. (C)
Substitutes
21. Benediuk A. 44. Chaban V. 4. Dubilei V. 42. Gadzhuk I. 99. Kyslenko S. 19. Lisnyak R. 9. Pushkaryov O. 18. Sad V. 87. Skorokhod M. 26. Sydorenko V. 36. Zhylkin A. (G)	20. Gusev O. 97. Korablin T. 18. Kosivskyi V. (G) 53. Matsapura D. (G) 9. Slesar A. 23. Supryaga V. 32. Trontelj Z. 14. Vasylets M. 16. Voloshyn V.
Coaches
Kobin V.	Bartulovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Gorbach I. 🟨,
35', Dubilei V. ↓, Pushkaryov O. ↑,
38', 1 - 0, Volokhatyi R. ⚽, Pyatov O. (A),
45+1', Losenko I. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Juninho 🟨,
71', Juninho ↓, Vantukh R. ↑,
71', Dryshlyuk K. ↓, Korablin T. ↑,
77', Mogylnyi B. ↓, Sad V. ↑,
88', Losenko I. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Inhulets won 1.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Inhulets could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Inhulets have a series of guest games.

Zorya will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Inhulets won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:17 (average 0.8:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Inhulets won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inhulets Petrovo
Ukrainian Premier League
25.04.25	Inhulets - Oleksandriya	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Inhulets - LNZ Cherkasy	0:0 ✺
14.04.25	Inhulets - Karpaty Lviv	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Inhulets - Obolon	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Inhulets - Veres Rivne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTLLT
- Zorya Luhansk
Ukrainian Premier League
25.04.25	Zorya Luhansk - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Kryvbas - Zorya Luhansk	4:0 ✺
13.04.25	Zorya Luhansk - Veres Rivne	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Vorskla Poltava - Zorya Luhansk	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Zorya Luhansk - Kolos Kovalivka	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
04.08.24	Zorya Luhansk - Inhulets	2:1
20.05.23	Zorya Luhansk - Inhulets	2:0
08.11.22	Inhulets - Zorya Luhansk	1:0
05.12.21	Zorya Luhansk - Inhulets	1:0
Club Friendly
04.09.21	Zorya Luhansk - Inhulets	3:1
Ukrainian Premier League
02.08.21	Inhulets - Zorya Luhansk	1:5
11.04.21	Zorya Luhansk - Inhulets	2:0

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