Match Info

Cyprus League - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: AEK Arena (Larnaca)

Referee: Fellas K. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2


	AEK Larnaca		Anorthosis

	1	X	2
	1.43	4	6
	1.55	3.75	5.5
	1.54	4.08	5.96	Watch
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.58	3.74	5.77	Watch
	1.5	3.75	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.47)	3.8 ↓ (4.26)	5.76 ↓ (6.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Larnaca
60%

Draw
24.1%

Anorthosis
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

22%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

21.1%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Anorthosis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEK Larnaca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anorthosis than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

AEK Larnaca - Anorthosis Predictions

Users Predictions: AEK Larnaca will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AEK Larnaca will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 11. Bajic R. 22. Ekpolo G. 14. Garcia A. 9. Ivanovic D. 7. Ledes Gustavo 15. Milicevic H. 21. Miramon 29. Naoum G. 17. Pons P. 27. Roberge V.	1. Panagi K. (G) 20. Aboagye C. 4. Artymatas K. 31. Bergstrom E. 88. Chrysostomou A. 47. Karamanolis A. 5. Kiko 6. Sensi S. 22. Sergiou K. 32. Sosa Vivaldi F. E. 9. Vukic S.
Substitutes
20. Amyn Y. 99. Demetriou D. (G) 93. Gnali J. 2. Ioannou P. 23. Izquierdo J. 36. Loukaidis C. 41. Mathias Gonzalez 51. Paraskevas A. (G) 8. Rohden M. 10. Rubio W. 35. Thoma C.	57. Charalambous E. 27. Dione B. 70. Ilia M. 21. Kiss T. 51. Panagi S. (G) 39. Rogic L. (G) 33. Schattin T. 12. Sebok M. (G) 2. Thandi S. 11. Theodorou D.
Coaches
Idiakez I.	Ketsbaia T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Bajic R. ⚽,
28', Aboagye C. ↓, Kiss T. ↑,
31', 2 - 0, Ivanovic D. ⚽,
35', Artymatas K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Sosa Vivaldi F. E. ↓, Dione B. ↑,
60', Vukic S. ↓, Ilia M. ↑,
64', Bergstrom E. 🟨,
66', (Penalty Awarded),
74', Ivanovic D. ↓, Amyn Y. ↑,
74', Milicevic H. 🟨,
77', Chrysostomou A. ↓, Theodorou D. ↑,
77', Sergiou K. ↓, Schattin T. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Amyn Y. ⚽,
82', Ilia M. 🟨,
85', 4 - 0, Bajic R. ⚽,
86', Bajic R. ↓, Mathias Gonzalez ↑,
86', Miramon ↓, Rubio W. ↑,
86', Naoum G. ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
90', Garcia A. ↓, Ioannou P. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 2.

AEK Larnaca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Anorthosis's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Anorthosis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, AEK Larnaca is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Chacon Y. (Knee Injury) Jimmy Suarez (Inactive) Komar K. (Broken Hand) Rohden M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Anorthosis: Ioannou M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Anorthosis: Katelaris F. (Inactive)

We predict that AEK Larnaca will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, AEK Larnaca won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.3:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AEK Larnaca	4	3	0	1	9:4	5	9
13	Anorthosis	4	1	0	3	3:9	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division
22.12.25	AEL Limassol - AEK Larnaca	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.12.25	AEK Larnaca - Shkendija Tetovo	1:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
15.12.25	AEK Larnaca - Omonia	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Häcken - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
06.12.25	AEK Larnaca - Ethnikos Achna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTTW
- Anorthosis Famagusta
Cypriot First Division
20.12.25	Anorthosis - Olympiacos Nicosia	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Omonia Aradippou - Anorthosis	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Apollon Limassol - Anorthosis	0:0 ✺
Cypriot Cup
03.12.25	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Anorthosis	1:3 ✺
Cypriot First Division
29.11.25	Anorthosis - APOEL	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
13.09.25	Anorthosis - AEK Larnaca	1:1
25.01.25	Anorthosis - AEK Larnaca	2:2
20.10.24	AEK Larnaca - Anorthosis	1:0
28.04.24	AEK Larnaca - Anorthosis	1:1
17.03.24	Anorthosis - AEK Larnaca	0:1
17.02.24	AEK Larnaca - Anorthosis	1:0
02.12.23	Anorthosis - AEK Larnaca	0:0

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