Match Info

Cyprus League - Championship Group - Round 31

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: AEK Arena (Larnaca)

Referee: Talic A. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go


	AEK Larnaca		Aris Limassol

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.7	3.35
	1.93	4.1	3.55
	1.88	4.13	3.45	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.3
	1.89	3.88	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.92)	3.84 ↑ (3.47)	3.43 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Larnaca
48.7%

Draw
24.2%

Aris Limassol
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

26.6%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

26.1%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Aris Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris Limassol than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

AEK Larnaca - Aris Limassol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 11. Bajic R. 22. Ekpolo G. 14. Garcia A. (C) 9. Ivanovic D. 25. Kyriakou C. 7. Ledes Gustavo 15. Milicevic H. 32. Mudrazija R. 27. Roberge V. 8. Rohden M.	1. Vana Alves (G) 7. Anderson Correia 76. Charalampous C. 99. Effaghe R. 6. Goldson C. 30. Gustavo Paje 28. Kastanos G. 45. McCausland R. 66. Montnor J. 19. Sane M. 20. Yago S.
Substitutes
86. Cardero A. 13. Gurfinkel Y. 23. Izquierdo J. 6. Jimmy Suarez 12. Komar K. (G) 36. Loukaidis C. 41. Mathias Gonzalez 21. Miramon 29. Naoum G. 51. Paraskevas A. (G) 17. Pons P.	27. Balogun L. 18. Bourhane Y. 40. Ergas R. 88. Fi Akamba C. 25. Foderingham W. (G) 14. Gomis Y. 80. Kakoullis A. 9. Kokorin A. 22. Nikolic V. 70. Semedo E. 90. Sofroniou E. (G) 75. Theodosiou M.
Coaches
Rozada J.	Louka L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Milicevic H. ⚽,
38', Gustavo Paje 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gustavo Paje ↓, Gomis Y. ↑,
53', McCausland R. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
54', Rohden M. ↓, Miramon ↑,
58', Bajic R. 🟨,
63', Kyriakou C. ↓, Pons P. ↑,
63', Bajic R. ↓, Naoum G. ↑,
63', Ivanovic D. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽,
72', Charalampous C. ↓, Nikolic V. ↑,
81', Garcia A. ↓, Gurfinkel Y. ↑,
85', Effaghe R. ↓, Kokorin A. ↑,
85', Anderson Correia ↓, Ergas R. ↑,
90+2', Yago S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Aris Limassol has had a series of home games.

AEK Larnaca could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Amyn Y. (Hamstring Injury) Cabrera E. (Knee Injury) Chacon Y. (Knee Injury) Saborit E. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, AEK Larnaca won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AEK Larnaca	4	3	0	1	9:4	5	9
8	Aris	4	1	2	1	4:6	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division
18.04.26	Paphos - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
14.04.26	AEK Larnaca - Omonia	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Apollon Limassol - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	AEK Larnaca - APOEL	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	AEK Larnaca - Crystal Palace	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLTWL
- Aris Limassol FC
Cypriot First Division
18.04.26	Aris Limassol - Apollon Limassol	3:0 ✺
14.04.26	Aris Limassol - Paphos	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	APOEL - Aris Limassol	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Aris Limassol - Omonia	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Aris Limassol - APOEL	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
10.01.26	Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca	1:0
22.09.25	AEK Larnaca - Aris Limassol	3:2
27.04.25	Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca	1:0
29.03.25	AEK Larnaca - Aris Limassol	1:1
09.02.25	Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca	1:1
03.11.24	AEK Larnaca - Aris Limassol	2:0
14.04.24	Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca	0:1

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