Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: AEK Arena (Larnaca)

Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	AEK Larnaca		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	6.5	4	1.53
	6.9	3.7	1.52
	7.19	4.05	1.53
	6.81	4.11	1.52	Watch
	6	3.8	1.5
	6.63	4.35	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.67 ↑ (5.81)	4 ↓ (4.24)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Larnaca
14.2%

Draw
23.7%

Crystal Palace
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

22.4%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

22%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.2%	24.2%	54.5%

AEK Larnaca - Crystal Palace Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 18 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 39.1% – 73.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 1 - 20%). Crystal Palace (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Crystal Palace (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - AEK Larnaca (2.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Crystal Palace (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 2. Ioannou P. 22. Ekpolo G. 15. Milicevic H. 4. Saborit E. 14. Garcia A. (C) 8. Rohden M. 7. Ledes Gustavo 17. Pons P. 9. Ivanovic D. 11. Bajic R.	44. Benitez W. (G) 26. Richards C. 5. Lacroix M. (C) 23. Canvot J. 11. Johnson B. 20. Wharton A. 18. Kamada D. 3. Mitchell T. 7. Sarr I. 22. Larsen J. S. 29. Guessand E.
Substitutes
30. Cabrera E. 99. Demetriou D. (G) 13. Gurfinkel Y. 25. Kyriakou C. 36. Loukaidis C. 41. Mathias Gonzalez 32. Mudrazija R. 51. Paraskevas A. (G) 27. Roberge V. 10. Rubio W.	59. Cardines R. 17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 19. Hughes W. 53. Izquierdo J. (G) 8. Lerma J. 14. Mateta J. 31. Matthews R. (G) 2. Munoz D. 10. Pino Y. 34. Riad C. 24. Sosa B.
Coaches
Rozada J.	Glasner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Sarr I. ⚽,
27', Richards C. 🟨,
33', Saborit E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Lacroix M. 🟨,
60', Johnson B. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Saborit E. ⚽, Rohden M. (A),
73', Saborit E. 🟨,
76', Guessand E. ↓, Pino Y. ↑,
76', Richards C. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
76', Bajic R. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
79', Ivanovic D. ↓, Roberge V. ↑,
79', Garcia A. ↓, Gurfinkel Y. ↑,
83', Canvot J. ↓, Mateta J. ↑,
84', Larsen J. S. 🟨,
89', Rohden M. ↓, Kyriakou C. ↑,
90+3', Rozada J. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
99', 1 - 2, Sarr I. ⚽, Kamada D. (A),
106', Pons P. ↓, Mudrazija R. ↑,
112', Cabrera E. ↓, Rubio W. ↑,
116', Glasner O. 🟨,
119', Wharton A. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
120+1', Roberge V. 🟨,
120+4', Ioannou P. 🟥,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0. Second leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Crystal Palace may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Crystal Palace is the team to beat.

There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Cardero A. (Inactive) Chacon Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Inactive) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in AEK Larnaca: Amyn Y. (Injury) Jimmy Suarez (Groin Injury) Naoum G. (Muscle Injury) Roberge V. (Finger Injury) Rubio W. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Henderson D. (Illness) Munoz D. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division
16.03.26	Ethnikos Achna - AEK Larnaca	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Crystal Palace - AEK Larnaca	0:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
06.03.26	AEK Larnaca - Akritas Chlorakas	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	AEK Larnaca - Olympiacos Nicosia	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Omonia Aradippou - AEK Larnaca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTWTL
- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
15.03.26	Crystal Palace - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Crystal Palace - AEK Larnaca	0:0 ✺
English Premier League
05.03.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace	1:3 ✺
01.03.26	Manchester United - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.02.26	Crystal Palace - Zrinjski Mostar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Crystal Palace - AEK Larnaca	0:0
23.10.25	Crystal Palace - AEK Larnaca	0:1

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