Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 9 August 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: AEK Arena (Larnaca) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lardot J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Cyprus	20:00	PrimeTel


	AEK Larnaca		Maccabi Tel Aviv

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.05
	3.3	3.25	2.2
	3.4	3.2	2.12
	3.43	3.08	2.16
	3.45	3.3	2.14	Watch
	3.6	3.4	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.6)	3.25 (3.25)	2.12 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Larnaca
27.1%

Draw
28.8%

Maccabi Tel Aviv
44.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

28.1%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEK Larnaca's form might have worsened.

Maccabi Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maccabi Tel Aviv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEK Larnaca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Tel Aviv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	27.8%	55.6%

AEK Larnaca - Maccabi Tel Aviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Maccabi Tel Aviv will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maccabi Tel Aviv: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Piric K. (G) 28. Sanchez F. 15. Milicevic H. 4. Tomovic N. (C) 14. Garcia A. 45. Gyurcso A. 17. Pons P. 7. Gustavo 16. Gama B. 9. Sol F. 12. Rafa Lopes	1. Peretz D. (G) 97. Macon Y. 55. Bitton N. 4. Saborit E. 3. Revivo R. 42. Peretz D. 14. van Overeem J. 10. Biton D. 18. Guiagon P. 7. Zahavi E. (C) 11. Cohen Y.
Substitutes
30. Andreou H. B. 5. Casado I. 11. Faraj I. 23. Herrerin I. (G) 34. Kapsis A. 18. Kaptoum W. 66. Mamas R. 27. Roberge V. 38. Toumpas I. (G) 10. Trickovski I. 42. Tziortzis M.	29. Almog E. 27. Davidzada O. 6. Glazer D. 23. Golasa E. 99. Jovanovic D. 16. Kanichowsky G. 25. Luckassen D. 90. Mishpati R. (G) 31. Piven S. 36. Shahar I. 9. Turgeman D. 21. Yeini S.
Coaches
Oltra J.	Keane R.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches AEK Larnaca is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maccabi Tel Aviv is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently AEK Larnaca have a series of home games.

Recently Maccabi Tel Aviv have a series of guest games.

Maccabi Tel Aviv will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches AEK Larnaca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams AEK Larnaca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Larnaca
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.08.23	AEK Larnaca - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:1 ✺
27.07.23	Torpedo-BelAZ - AEK Larnaca	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.23	AEK Larnaca - Kisvárda	1:2 ✺
13.07.23	AEK Larnaca - Vojvodina	0:0 ✺
09.07.23	Panathinaikos - AEK Larnaca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWLTL
- Maccabi Tel Aviv
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Petrocub-Hîncești - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:2 ✺
27.07.23	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Petrocub-Hîncești	3:0 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
20.07.23	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:6 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.23	Bournemouth - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:1 ✺
13.07.23	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Orlando Pirates	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWTL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division
26.10.26	AEK Larnaca - Omonia	✺
- Maccabi Tel Aviv
Israeli Ligat haAl
24.10.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Haifa	✺

AEK Larnaca - Maccabi Tel Aviv: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide