Match Info

Date: 24 February 2021, Wednesday


	AEL Larissa		Lamia

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	3	Watch
	2.5	2.9	3	Watch
	2.5	2.88	2.95
	2.45	2.85	3.05
	2.56	2.91	3.23
	2.55	2.8	3.1
	2.54	2.91	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.56)	2.92 ↑ (2.88)	3.08 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEL Larissa
37.5%

Draw
32.1%

Lamia
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

32.5%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

22.9%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEL Larissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Lamia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEL Larissa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lamia than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lamia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AEL Larissa - Lamia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group) and 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group)).

Larissa is Super League (Relegation Group)

Lamia is Super League (Relegation Group)

Larissa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lamia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Larissa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lamia have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Larissa won 1 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Larissa won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEL Larissa
Greek Super League
20.02.21	Atromitos Athens - AEL Larissa	1:1 ✺
15.02.21	AEL Larissa - AEK Athens	2:4 ✺
Greek Cup
03.02.21	AEL Larissa - PAOK	1:2 ✺
Greek Super League
30.01.21	AEL Larissa - Volos	0:0 ✺
26.01.21	Aris - AEL Larissa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLTL
- Lamia FC
Greek Super League
21.02.21	PAOK - Lamia	4:0 ✺
18.02.21	Apollon Smyrni - Lamia	0:1 ✺
13.02.21	Asteras Tripolis - Lamia	0:0 ✺
Greek Cup
10.02.21	PAOK - Lamia	5:2 ✺
Greek Super League
30.01.21	Panathinaikos - Lamia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.09.20	Lamia - AEL Larissa	1:1
Greek Super League
11.07.20	Lamia - AEL Larissa	0:0
08.02.20	Lamia - AEL Larissa	0:0
11.11.19	AEL Larissa - Lamia	0:3
24.02.19	Lamia - AEL Larissa	2:1
20.10.18	AEL Larissa - Lamia	1:2
05.05.18	AEL Larissa - Lamia	1:1

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