Match Info

Cyprus League - Championship Group - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: GSP Stadium (Nicosia)

Referee: Malcevs E. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3


	APOEL		AEK Larnaca

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.45
	2.68	3.15	2.48
	2.81	3.36	2.56
	2.75	3.32	2.51	Watch
	2.7	3	2.4
	2.75	3.25	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.7)	3.18 ↓ (3.22)	2.48 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APOEL
33.9%

Draw
28.9%

AEK Larnaca
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

29%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

28.6%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APOEL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

APOEL - AEK Larnaca Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Pereira (G) 31. Brorsson F. 20. Dalcio 29. Diego Rosa 9. Drazic S. 23. Kattirtzis P. 34. Laifis K. (C) 77. Mancini D. 14. Nanu 15. Tomas M. 6. Vitor Meer	1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 11. Bajic R. 86. Cardero A. 22. Ekpolo G. 14. Garcia A. (C) 7. Ledes Gustavo 15. Milicevic H. 21. Miramon 32. Mudrazija R. 17. Pons P. 27. Roberge V.
Substitutes
2. Antoniou E. 36. Appiah C. 5. Degenek M. 11. Gabriel Maioli 38. Geovane Meurer 89. Koutsakos N. 78. Michos S. (G) 99. Olayinka P. 21. Poursaitidis C. 91. Voniatis S. (G) 45. Yiannacou K.	2. Ioannou P. 9. Ivanovic D. 23. Izquierdo J. 6. Jimmy Suarez 12. Komar K. (G) 25. Kyriakou C. 36. Loukaidis C. 41. Mathias Gonzalez 29. Naoum G. 51. Paraskevas A. (G) 8. Rohden M. 35. Thoma C.
Coaches
Garcia P.	Rozada J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Laifis K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Cardero A. ↓, Ivanovic D. ↑,
64', Vitor Meer 🟨,
67', Mancini D. ↓, Gabriel Maioli ↑,
67', Olayinka P. ↓, Koutsakos N. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Diego Rosa ⚽,
73', Ledes Gustavo ↓, Rohden M. ↑,
73', Ekpolo G. ↓, Naoum G. ↑,
75', Diego Rosa 🟨,
76', Diego Rosa ↓, Antoniou E. ↑,
80', Pons P. ↓, Kyriakou C. ↑,
80', Mudrazija R. ↓, Mathias Gonzalez ↑,
81', Kyriakou C. 🟨,
87', Tomas M. ↓, Poursaitidis C. ↑,
90+1', Poursaitidis C. 🟨,
90+3', Gabriel Pereira 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, APOEL won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

APOEL may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There are questionable in APOEL: Diamantakos D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in AEK Larnaca: Amyn Y. (Hamstring Injury) Cabrera E. (Knee Injury) Chacon Y. (Knee Injury) Saborit E. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, APOEL won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, APOEL won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AEK Larnaca	4	3	0	1	9:4	5	9
9	APOEL	4	1	1	2	10:7	3	4

Last Results with these Odds

AEK Larnaca - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.45%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APOEL
Cypriot Cup
29.04.26	APOEL - Apollon Limassol	0:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
26.04.26	APOEL - Paphos	3:3 ✺
Cypriot Cup
22.04.26	Apollon Limassol - APOEL	4:2 ✺
Cypriot First Division
18.04.26	Omonia - APOEL	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	APOEL - Apollon Limassol	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTLLW
- AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division
25.04.26	AEK Larnaca - Aris Limassol	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Paphos - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
14.04.26	AEK Larnaca - Omonia	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Apollon Limassol - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	AEK Larnaca - APOEL	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
22.03.26	AEK Larnaca - APOEL	1:0
08.02.26	APOEL - AEK Larnaca	1:2
27.10.25	AEK Larnaca - APOEL	1:1
04.05.25	AEK Larnaca - APOEL	3:0
02.04.25	APOEL - AEK Larnaca	0:1
20.01.25	AEK Larnaca - APOEL	2:1
06.10.24	APOEL - AEK Larnaca	0:1

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