Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 14

Date: 16 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Tunavallen (Eskilstuna)

Referee: Melin P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	AFC Eskilstuna		Brage

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3	3.3	2.15
	3.15	3.5	2.12
	3.18	3.48	2.26
	2.9	3.2	2.15
	3.05	3.46	2.18	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.77)	3.38 ↑ (3.32)	2.18 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Eskilstuna
30.5%

Draw
27.2%

Brage
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

28.2%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

28.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Eskilstuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Brage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Eskilstuna than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brage than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.8%	5.4%	83.8%

AFC Eskilstuna - Brage Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. AFC Eskilstuna will win (votes: 4 - 10.8%). Brage will win (votes: 31 - 83.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brage: 71.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wolters N. (G) 4. Modig J. (C) 25. Adolfsson M. 21. Suljic A. 3. Fryers Z. 43. Hudu A. 6. Williams R. 13. Yakubu A. 10. Palomino M. 23. Culum A. 20. Duah E.	13. Bernardini A. (G) 22. Tamimi J. 2. Zetterstrom A. (C) 5. Rodin P. 4. Persson M. 10. Berggren G. 7. Tot Wikstrom E. 16. Izountouemoi S. 21. Sletsjoe H. 12. Ieltsin Camoes 19. Nyarko K.
Substitutes
5. Cabdi H. 22. Hansemon T. 19. Lif L. 7. Maarouf S. 11. Mitku M. 35. Nilsson W. (G) 16. Shamoun I.	11. Arvidsson J. 1. Frodig V. (G) 3. Gayi E. 24. Hawat Y. 9. Karlberg D. 23. Redenstrand C. 14. Stensson J.
Coaches
Astedt R.	Saarenpaa K.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches AFC Eskilstuna won 2.

AFC Eskilstuna has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brage is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

AFC Eskilstuna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Brage will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches AFC Eskilstuna won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams AFC Eskilstuna won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Eskilstuna
Swedish Superettan
08.07.23	Gefle - AFC Eskilstuna	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.23	AFC Eskilstuna - Västerås SK	0:2 ✺
Swedish Superettan
11.06.23	AFC Eskilstuna - Helsingborg	0:1 ✺
05.06.23	Skövde AIK - AFC Eskilstuna	1:0 ✺
01.06.23	Västerås SK - AFC Eskilstuna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLLT
- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
09.07.23	Brage - Örgryte	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.23	Gefle - Brage	0:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
11.06.23	Brage - Landskrona	2:1 ✺
05.06.23	Trelleborg - Brage	1:0 ✺
31.05.23	Brage - Östersund	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
13.09.22	AFC Eskilstuna - Brage	2:3
11.07.22	Brage - AFC Eskilstuna	1:1
28.08.21	AFC Eskilstuna - Brage	2:1
05.06.21	Brage - AFC Eskilstuna	1:0
29.11.20	Brage - AFC Eskilstuna	1:3
12.07.20	AFC Eskilstuna - Brage	1:2
05.10.18	Brage - AFC Eskilstuna	0:0

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