Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 26

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle)

Referee: Lindgren M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 7, TV4 Play


	Gefle		Brage

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.7	1.9
	3.4	3.5	1.9
	3.6	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.69	3.88	1.95
	3.61	3.75	1.92	Watch
	3.5	3.6	1.83
	3.63	3.72	1.92	Watch
	3.5	3.6	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (3.82)	3.69 ↓ (3.82)	1.91 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
26%

Draw
25.2%

Brage
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

23.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Brage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brage than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Gefle - Brage Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gefle will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Brage will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nilsson M. (G) 7. Edqvist A. 3. Adolfsson J. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 19. Aspgren C. 6. Browning L. 24. Rafael Y. 35. Adrian S. 10. Izountouemoi S. 11. Englund L. 8. Lundin A.	1. Frodig V. (G) 22. Weilid C. 2. Zetterstrom A. 5. Agren O. 23. Redenstrand C. 11. Arvidsson J. 21. Sletsjoe H. 10. Berggren G. 7. Tot Wikstrom E. 12. Ieltsin Camoes 33. Muhsin A.
Substitutes
15. Friberg G. 14. Friman S. P. 5. Hakansson N. 1. Jonsson O. (G) 23. Lattman A. 16. Persson K. 44. Ranera I.	18. Abic F. 13. Bernardini A. (G) 17. Jonsson P. 4. Persson M. 8. Stensson J. 6. Titi A. 3. Walemark T.
Coaches
Bengtsson M.	Mian J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Adrian S. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Englund L. ⚽, Adrian S. (A),
35', Tot Wikstrom E. ↓, Jonsson P. ↑,
39', 2 - 1, Ieltsin Camoes ⚽, Jonsson P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Weilid C. ↓, Abic F. ↑,
70', Berggren G. ↓, Titi A. ↑,
78', Adrian S. ↓, Ranera I. ↑,
78', Rafael Y. ↓, Persson K. ↑,
85', Englund L. ↓, Friberg G. ↑,
90+3', Nilsson M. 🟨,
90+6', Edqvist A. ↓, Friman S. P. ↑,
90+9', Sletsjoe H. 🟨,
90+9', Izountouemoi S. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gefle won 2.

Gefle is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Brage is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Brage is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gefle won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:19 (average 1.2:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Gefle won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
29.09.24	Helsingborg - Gefle	4:0 ✺
24.09.24	Gefle - Östersund	0:0 ✺
19.09.24	Degerfors - Gefle	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Gefle - Örgryte	2:3 ✺
01.09.24	Skövde AIK - Gefle	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLW
- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
28.09.24	Brage - Sandviken	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Varbergs BoIS - Brage	0:1 ✺
18.09.24	Brage - Utsikten	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Sundsvall - Brage	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	Brage - Örgryte	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
28.06.24	Brage - Gefle	2:2
05.08.23	Gefle - Brage	2:0
Club Friendly
30.06.23	Gefle - Brage	0:1
Swedish Superettan
19.05.23	Brage - Gefle	1:1
Club Friendly
28.01.23	Gefle - Brage	2:1
18.03.20	Brage - Gefle	8:2
Swedish Superettan
20.08.18	Gefle - Brage	0:2

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