Match Info

Date: 1 November 2021, Monday


	AFC Eskilstuna		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.25	Watch
	3	3.3	2.2
	3.05	3.45	2.18	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.9
	2.3	3.63	3.1
	2.3	3.4	2.88
	2.3	3.6	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (3.01)	3.44 ↑ (3.38)	2.78 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Eskilstuna
38.3%

Draw
27.6%

Värnamo
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

27.3%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

20.2%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Eskilstuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Eskilstuna's performance.

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Värnamo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Eskilstuna than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Eskilstuna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+22.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Värnamo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AFC Eskilstuna - Värnamo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

AFC Eskilstuna is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Värnamo in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

AFC Eskilstuna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Värnamo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches AFC Eskilstuna won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Including matches at home between the teams AFC Eskilstuna won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Eskilstuna
Swedish Superettan
26.10.21	Trelleborg - AFC Eskilstuna	4:0 ✺
21.10.21	GAIS - AFC Eskilstuna	2:3 ✺
16.10.21	AFC Eskilstuna - Västerås SK	0:1 ✺
03.10.21	Akropolis - AFC Eskilstuna	1:0 ✺
30.09.21	AFC Eskilstuna - Öster	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLT
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Superettan
25.10.21	Värnamo - Falkenberg	3:2 ✺
16.10.21	GAIS - Värnamo	1:2 ✺
04.10.21	Vasalund - Värnamo	1:1 ✺
30.09.21	Värnamo - Västerås SK	3:2 ✺
26.09.21	Trelleborg - Värnamo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
07.08.21	Värnamo - AFC Eskilstuna	1:1
Svenska Cupen
23.02.19	AFC Eskilstuna - Värnamo	4:0
Swedish Superettan
01.10.18	Värnamo - AFC Eskilstuna	0:0
15.04.18	AFC Eskilstuna - Värnamo	4:0

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