Match Info

Date: 4 October 2021, Monday


	Vasalund		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.66	Watch
	3.9	3.75	1.75
	4.1	3.7	1.77	Watch
	4.4	3.8	1.67
	4.72	4.2	1.7
	4.5	3.75	1.7	Watch
	4.65	4	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (4.07)	3.89 ↑ (3.43)	1.71 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasalund
21.1%

Draw
24.1%

Värnamo
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

27%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

21.2%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasalund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasalund than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Värnamo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.8%	9.6%	83.6%

Vasalund - Värnamo Predictions

Users Predictions: Värnamo will win (61 of 73 users predict this - 83.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.06% – 92.06%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

Vasalunds is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Värnamo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vasalunds could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Värnamo is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vasalunds won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasalunds IF
Swedish Superettan
30.09.21	Brage - Vasalund	3:0 ✺
25.09.21	Vasalund - Akropolis	0:1 ✺
18.09.21	AFC Eskilstuna - Vasalund	1:2 ✺
13.09.21	Vasalund - Sundsvall	1:2 ✺
05.09.21	Norrby - Vasalund	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWLT
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Superettan
30.09.21	Värnamo - Västerås SK	3:2 ✺
26.09.21	Trelleborg - Värnamo	2:3 ✺
20.09.21	Värnamo - Örgryte	1:1 ✺
16.09.21	Värnamo - Jönköpings Södra	2:0 ✺
12.09.21	Öster - Värnamo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
25.07.21	Värnamo - Vasalund	1:0

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