Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 9

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Hyllie IP (Malmö)


	AFC Malmö		Ljungskile

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.7	3.6
	1.75	3.85	4
	1.86	3.82	3.76
	1.8	3.87	4	Watch
	1.76	3.78	4.01	Watch
	1.75	3.85	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.5)	3.81 ↓ (4)	3.9 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Malmö
52%

Draw
24.3%

Ljungskile
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

22.1%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

23%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Malmö's form might have worsened.

Ljungskile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Malmö, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ljungskile than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ljungskile, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AFC Malmö - Ljungskile Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups


17. Abuzayda S.	10. Ambroz F.
1. Al Rekabe K.	1. Eriksson L.
2. Andersson P.	11. Helm A.
99. Andersson V.	12. Hogblom S.
4. Blomqvist A.	3. Johanstrommer Hedin G.
8. Brannefalk J.	14. Lagerlof D.
5. Bunjaku G.	18. Larsson A.
77. Castro V.	7. Liljedahl J.
22. Karaman E.	37. Liljedahl W.
36. Kristiansson V.	99. Lindholm Corner L.
25. Lubwama R.	60. Mensah G.
12. Mehmed E.	2. Nafors Dahlin R.
6. Nouri B. (C)	4. Ohlsson S. (C)
10. Reuterskiold A.	8. Tyren V.
20. Simba P.	23. Uzel M.
3. Sjostrand Bjurnemark A.	15. Vennberg J.
16. Sverrisson O.	22. Zackrisson A.
14. Wettergren L.	16. Zetterlund J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Andersson V. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Andersson V. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 0, Wettergren L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 3 - 1, (Own goal),
52', 🟨,
56', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
81', 3 - 2, ⚽,
87', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan).

In recent matches, Ariana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ljungskile is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Ariana has had a series of away games.

Recently, Ljungskile has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ariana is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ariana won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ariana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
17.05.25	Eskilsminne - AFC Malmö	2:2 ✺
10.05.25	Skövde AIK - AFC Malmö	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	AFC Malmö - Husqvarna	3:1 ✺
28.04.25	Lunds - AFC Malmö	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	Ängelholm - AFC Malmö	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTWTL
- Ljungskile SK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
17.05.25	Ljungskile - Lunds	3:0 ✺
10.05.25	Ljungskile - Oskarshamn	1:3 ✺
04.05.25	Hässleholm - Ljungskile	1:4 ✺
26.04.25	Ljungskile - Trollhättan	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Ljungskile - Husqvarna	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
29.09.24	Ljungskile - AFC Malmö	2:1
16.06.24	AFC Malmö - Ljungskile	2:1
04.11.23	AFC Malmö - Ljungskile	2:1
23.04.23	Ljungskile - AFC Malmö	2:3

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