Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/32-finals

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: New Bucks Head (Telford)


	AFC Telford United		Altrincham

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.8	2.48
	2.36	3.9	2.48
	2.42	4.11	2.42	Watch
	2.38	3.5	2.5
	2.46	3.62	2.59
	2.42	3.66	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (3.06)	3.77 ↑ (3.6)	2.47 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
38.4%

Draw
24.4%

Altrincham
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

25.1%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

26.1%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Telford United's performance.

Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altrincham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Telford United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altrincham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AFC Telford United - Altrincham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Knowles J. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Knowles J. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, George A. ⚽,
68', 1 - 3, Crankshaw O. ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, Armson J. ⚽,
81', 3 - 3, Stenson M. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 3, Stenson M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telford won 1.

Telford is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Altrincham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Telford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Altrincham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Telford won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Telford won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English National League North
09.12.25	Leamington - AFC Telford United	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	AFC Telford United - Southport	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Radcliffe - AFC Telford United	2:2 ✺
25.11.25	AFC Telford United - Oxford City	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	AFC Telford United - South Shields	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTTWT
- Altrincham
English National League
06.12.25	Aldershot Town - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Altrincham - Scunthorpe United	4:2 ✺
22.11.25	Southend United - Altrincham	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	Altrincham - Brackley Town	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Truro City - Altrincham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
04.02.20	Altrincham - AFC Telford United	5:2
01.02.20	AFC Telford United - Altrincham	2:2
09.04.19	AFC Telford United - Altrincham	1:1
08.12.18	Altrincham - AFC Telford United	3:1
04.03.17	AFC Telford United - Altrincham	1:0
22.10.16	Altrincham - AFC Telford United	0:2
English National League
18.04.15	Altrincham - AFC Telford United	1:2

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