Match Info

National League North - Round 8

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: New Bucks Head (Telford)


	AFC Telford United		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.38
	2.37	3.40	2.45
	2.42	3.4	2.52
	2.61	3.67	2.5
	2.51	3.68	2.51	Watch
	2.5	3.6	2.45
	2.52	3.68	2.5
	2.41	3.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.1)	3.55 ↑ (3.3)	2.48 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
37.2%

Draw
25.8%

Oxford City
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

27.1%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

26.9%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Telford United's form might have worsened.

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oxford City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Telford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oxford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AFC Telford United - Oxford City Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Oxford City (2.80) (votes: 83%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Walker R. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Recent performances by Telford have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oxford City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Telford won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Telford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 4:0).

Outrights of English National League North for now

Oxford City: 5.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Oxford City	10	6	2	2	18:7	11	20
21	AFC Telford	10	2	3	5	8:15	-7	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English National League North
05.09.26	Scarborough Athletic - AFC Telford United	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	AFC Telford United - Bedford Town	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Morecambe - AFC Telford United	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	AFC Telford United - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
18.08.26	Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLTT
- Oxford City
English National League North
05.09.26	Oxford City - Chorley	4:0 ✺
31.08.26	Worksop Town - Oxford City	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Oxford City - Buxton	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Spennymoor Town - Oxford City	1:4 ✺
18.08.26	Oxford City - Harborough Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
24.02.26	Oxford City - AFC Telford United	0:0
25.11.25	AFC Telford United - Oxford City	4:0
08.04.14	Oxford City - AFC Telford United	2:0
22.03.14	AFC Telford United - Oxford City	4:0

Upcoming Matches