Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: New Bucks Head (Telford)


	AFC Telford United		Evesham United

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	5.5
	1.44	4.55	5.7
	1.43	4.65	5.29
	1.56	4.04	5.32	Watch
	1.44	4.5	6.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.59)	4.35 ↑ (3.88)	5.57 ↑ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
62.5%

Draw
21.1%

Evesham United
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

23.4%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

25.5%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Telford United's performance.

Evesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

AFC Telford United - Evesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Awadh A. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Meddows ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
62', 2 - 1, Walker R. ⚽,
82', 3 - 1, Stenson M. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, Stenson M. ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

In recent matches, Telford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Evesham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Telford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Telford is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English National League North
20.09.25	Alfreton Town - AFC Telford United	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	AFC Telford United - Kidderminster Harriers	3:1 ✺
English National League North
06.09.25	Chorley - AFC Telford United	3:1 ✺
02.09.25	AFC Telford United - Peterborough Sports	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	AFC Telford United - Spennymoor Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLWW
- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
22.09.25	Bracknell Town - Evesham United	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Wimborne Town - Evesham United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.25	Evesham United - Racing Club Warwick	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
09.09.25	Evesham United - Hungerford Town	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Walton & Hersham - Evesham United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWWL

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