The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chorley 40.4%
Draw 26.3%
AFC Telford United 33.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
26%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
24.7%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Chorley - AFC Telford United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 12th and 21st in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 3.
Chorley is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Telford has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Chorley may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Chorley has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:16 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chorley against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 13:6 goals (averaging 1.9:0.9 per game).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Chorley: 1.12%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Chorley
10
4
2
4
16:17
-1
14
21
AFC Telford
10
2
3
5
8:15
-7
9
Last Results with these Odds
Chorley - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.28%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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