Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 43

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday

Location: New Bucks Head (Telford)


	AFC Telford United		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.25	2.25
	2.65	3.15	2.38
	2.81	3.18	2.54
	2.75	3.34	2.43
	2.75	3.3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.6)	3.24 ↑ (3.05)	2.38 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
33.5%

Draw
28.1%

Gloucester City
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

29.7%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

31.4%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

AFC Telford United - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Telford is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Telford won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Telford won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Telford won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English National League North
07.04.23	Brackley Town - AFC Telford United	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	AFC Telford United - Peterborough Sports	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Banbury United - AFC Telford United	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	AFC Telford United - Curzon Ashton	2:3 ✺
11.03.23	Hereford - AFC Telford United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.1 WLWLT
- Gloucester City
English National League North
07.04.23	Gloucester City - Banbury United	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Southport - Gloucester City	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Fylde - Gloucester City	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Gloucester City - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Scarborough Athletic - Gloucester City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
13.09.22	Gloucester City - AFC Telford United	3:0
02.04.22	AFC Telford United - Gloucester City	2:1
23.10.21	Gloucester City - AFC Telford United	2:2
10.11.20	Gloucester City - AFC Telford United	4:1
28.12.19	Gloucester City - AFC Telford United	0:1
03.09.19	AFC Telford United - Gloucester City	4:3
04.02.17	AFC Telford United - Gloucester City	0:2

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