Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 39

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Kidderminster Harriers

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	3	3.1	2.2
	3.37	3.33	2.17
	2.55	3.2	2.55
	3.22	3.32	2.16
	3.1	3.1	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.6)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	2.24 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
30.2%

Draw
28.8%

Kidderminster Harriers
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

28.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

27.9%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloucester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kidderminster Harriers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gloucester City - Kidderminster Harriers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 8 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 3.

Gloucester is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kidderminster is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kidderminster will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
11.03.23	Scarborough Athletic - Gloucester City	0:3 ✺
07.03.23	Gloucester City - Kettering Town	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Buxton - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
28.02.23	Peterborough Sports - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Gloucester City - Spennymoor Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLWW
- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League North
11.03.23	Kidderminster Harriers - King`s Lynn Town	1:1 ✺
07.03.23	Chester - Kidderminster Harriers	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Boston United	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Darlington - Kidderminster Harriers	0:0 ✺
21.02.23	Chorley - Kidderminster Harriers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
26.11.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Gloucester City	0:1
29.01.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Gloucester City	0:0
23.11.21	Gloucester City - Kidderminster Harriers	1:3
09.01.21	Gloucester City - Kidderminster Harriers	3:2
13.08.19	Kidderminster Harriers - Gloucester City	2:3
08.04.17	Gloucester City - Kidderminster Harriers	1:2
22.11.16	Kidderminster Harriers - Gloucester City	3:0

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