Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 4

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: New Bucks Head (Telford)


	AFC Telford United		Nuneaton Town

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.5	3
	2.08	3.63	3.17
	2.07	3.46	3.18
	2.05	3.5	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.03)	3.52 ↓ (3.58)	3.11 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
44.7%

Draw
25.9%

Nuneaton Town
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

25.7%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

24.4%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Nuneaton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuneaton Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

AFC Telford United - Nuneaton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Telford won 3.

Recent matches Telford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nuneaton Town is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Nuneaton Town have a series of home games.

Telford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Telford won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Telford won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English Southern League Central Division
14.08.23	Redditch United - AFC Telford United	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Leiston - AFC Telford United	2:1 ✺
05.08.23	AFC Telford United - Royston Town	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	AFC Telford United - Kidderminster Harriers	0:0 ✺
18.07.23	AFC Telford United - Notts County	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWTL
- Nuneaton Town
English Southern League Central Division
15.08.23	Nuneaton Town - Long Eaton United	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Nuneaton Town - St Ives Town	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Berkhamsted - Nuneaton Town	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Nuneaton Town - United of Manchester	0:5 ✺
18.07.23	Nuneaton Town - Solihull Moors	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.07.21	Nuneaton Town - AFC Telford United	2:2
English National League North
01.01.19	Nuneaton Town - AFC Telford United	1:2
26.12.18	AFC Telford United - Nuneaton Town	3:1
27.02.18	AFC Telford United - Nuneaton Town	1:2
05.09.17	Nuneaton Town - AFC Telford United	0:2
17.04.17	AFC Telford United - Nuneaton Town	2:4
29.08.16	Nuneaton Town - AFC Telford United	1:1

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