Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 42

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: New Bucks Head (Telford)


	AFC Telford United		Royston Town

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.2	5
	1.49	4.3	5.2
	1.67	4.07	4.38
	1.61	4.2	4.83	Watch
	1.62	4.1	4.21
	1.49	4.3	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.91)	4.2 ↑ (3.64)	4.8 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
59%

Draw
21.9%

Royston Town
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

25.1%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

24.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Telford United's performance.

Royston Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Royston Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Telford United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royston Town than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Royston Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AFC Telford United - Royston Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Harness K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 1 - 1, Pendley O. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Telford is Qualified for Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs )

Telford is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Royston is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Royston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Telford is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Telford won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Telford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English Southern League Central Division
21.04.25	Halesowen Town - AFC Telford United	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	AFC Telford United - Lowestoft Town	7:1 ✺
12.04.25	Banbury United - AFC Telford United	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	AFC Telford United - Spalding United	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	AFC Telford United - Barwell	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTTW
- Royston Town
English Southern League Central Division
21.04.25	Royston Town - St Ives Town	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Kettering Town - Royston Town	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Royston Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Alvechurch - Royston Town	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Hitchin Town - Royston Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
14.01.25	Royston Town - AFC Telford United	3:3
06.02.24	Royston Town - AFC Telford United	2:2
05.08.23	AFC Telford United - Royston Town	3:0

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