Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 18

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday


	Leiston		AFC Telford United

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.3
	2.6	3.5	2.31
	2.71	3.73	2.29
	2.69	3.72	2.35
	2.62	3.5	2.26
	2.6	3.5	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.59)	3.56 ↑ (3.53)	2.3 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
34.8%

Draw
25.6%

AFC Telford United
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

25.7%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

26.1%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Leiston - AFC Telford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Stenson M. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Dinanga R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Leiston won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Leiston won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
23.11.24	Kettering Town - Leiston	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	St Ives Town - Leiston	1:3 ✺
12.11.24	Leiston - Alvechurch	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Leiston - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Leiston - Stamford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWTT
- AFC Telford United
English Southern League Central Division
23.11.24	AFC Telford United - St Ives Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Hadley - AFC Telford United	1:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
12.11.24	AFC Telford United - Kettering Town	1:3 ✺
09.11.24	Stamford - AFC Telford United	1:3 ✺
02.11.24	AFC Telford United - Bishops Stortford	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
13.01.24	AFC Telford United - Leiston	0:0
12.08.23	Leiston - AFC Telford United	2:1
English FA Cup
13.10.20	Leiston - AFC Telford United	1:0 penalties

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