Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London)

Referee: Linington J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	DAZN Canada
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Finland	Elisa Viihde, Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	Vidio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	AFC Wimbledon		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	6	4.33	1.5	Watch
	6.25	4.6	1.47
	6.5	4.5	1.5	Watch
	6.34	4.67	1.48
	5.85	4.36	1.5	Watch
	7	4.6	1.44
	6.25	4.7	1.48	Watch
	6.5	4.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.34 ↑ (6.11)	4.53 ↑ (4.47)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
15%

Draw
21%

Ipswich Town
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

21.2%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

22.4%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	7.1%	85.7%

AFC Wimbledon - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Ipswich Town will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 6. Johnson R. 31. Lewis J. 33. Ogundere I. 2. Biler H. 8. Maycock C. 4. Reeves J. (C) 16. Ball J. 7. Tilley J. 14. Stevens M. 9. Bugiel O.	28. Walton C. (G) 18. Johnson B. 26. O'Shea D. 15. Burgess C. 22. Townsend C. 21. Ogbene C. 8. Phillips K. 12. Cajuste J. 47. Clarke J. 10. Chaplin C. (C) 16. Al-Hamadi A.
Substitutes
3. Furlong J. 21. Hippolyte M. 10. Kelly J. 11. Neufville J. 5. O'Toole J. J. 39. Pigott J. 12. Smith A. 22. Ward L. (G) 27. Williams M.	3. Davis L. 19. Delap L. 11. Harness M. 20. Hutchinson O. 25. Luongo M. 13. Slicker C. (G) 14. Taylor J. 40. Tuanzebe A. 6. Woolfenden L.
Coaches
Jackson J.	McKenna K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Al-Hamadi A. ⚽, Townsend C. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Bugiel O. ⚽, Reeves J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ogbene C. ↓, Harness M. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Stevens M. ⚽, Reeves J. (A),
61', Lewis J. 🟨,
66', Phillips K. ↓, Luongo M. ↑,
66', Cajuste J. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
71', Ball J. ↓, Smith A. ↑,
72', Bugiel O. ↓, Pigott J. ↑,
73', Johnson R. 🟨,
78', Al-Hamadi A. ↓, Delap L. ↑,
78', Clarke J. ↓, Hutchinson O. ↑,
81', Burgess C. 🟨,
86', 2 - 2, Chaplin C. ⚽, Burgess C. (A),
90', Tilley J. ↓, Furlong J. ↑,
90+4', Delap L. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Pigott J. (Pen),
1, Delap L. (Pen),
2, Stevens M. (Pen),
2, Burgess C. (Pen),
3, Reeves J. (Pen),
3, Taylor J. (Pen),
4, Biler H. (Pen),
4, Hutchinson O. (Pen),
5, Ogundere I. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 0.

Wimbledon is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ipswich is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ipswich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ipswich is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English League Two
24.08.24	Cheltenham Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
20.08.24	AFC Wimbledon - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0 ✺
English League Two
17.08.24	Bromley - AFC Wimbledon	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Bromley - AFC Wimbledon	1:2 ✺
English League Two
10.08.24	AFC Wimbledon - Colchester United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLWW
- Ipswich Town
English Premier League
24.08.24	Manchester City - Ipswich Town	4:1 ✺
17.08.24	Ipswich Town - Liverpool	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Ipswich Town - Nice	1:0 ✺
03.08.24	Hoffenheim - Ipswich Town	0:1 ✺
02.08.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Ipswich Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
06.01.24	AFC Wimbledon - Ipswich Town	1:3
Club Friendly
16.07.22	AFC Wimbledon - Ipswich Town	0:3
English League One
25.01.22	AFC Wimbledon - Ipswich Town	0:2
28.08.21	Ipswich Town - AFC Wimbledon	2:2
24.04.21	Ipswich Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:0
13.04.21	AFC Wimbledon - Ipswich Town	3:0
11.02.20	AFC Wimbledon - Ipswich Town	0:0

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